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Match Readiness Report: St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund

1. Main Players Comparison

St. Pauli:

- Departures: Treu (2G), Eggestein (4G, 3A), Boukhalfa (2G), Guilavogui (6G, 2A – left but re-added), Saad (3G, 2A), Van der Heyden, Weißhaupt.
- Remaining Core: Wahl (CB anchor), Smith (2-way CM), Irvine (6G), Afolayan (3G, 1A), Nemeth (solid CB), Vasilj (GK).
- Impact: Defensive structure solid but attack heavily weakened by departures of Saad, Eggestein & Boukhalfa. Irvine must carry load.

Dortmund:

- Departures: Gittens (8G, 3A, 1786 mins).
- Remaining Core: Guirassy (21G, 2A), Brandt (10A, 5G), Groß (10A), Beier (8G, 5A).
- Defense & GK: Kobel (elite GK), Schlotterbeck + Anton consistent, Ryerson versatile.
- Impact: Retains elite firepower, midfield depth, and defensive stability.

2. New Players Comparison

St. Pauli:

- Guilavogui (27, 6G, 2A) – re-signed, proven attacker.
- Pereira Lage (28, 2G, 7A) – creative midfielder, high assist output.
- Joel Chima Fujita (23, CM) – depth, not yet tested.
- Ricky-Jade Jones (22, CF) – pace option, unproven.
- Defensive reinforcements: Pyrka, Oppie, Robatsch – squad fillers.
- Impact: About 8G, 9A incoming – focused on midfield creativity.

Dortmund:

- Jobe Bellingham (19, CM) – prospect, long-term role.
- Patrick Drewes (32, GK, 1845 mins) – backup GK.
- Daniel Svensson (23, LM, 1G, 3A) – rotation option.
- Impact: Depth only, no major quality change to starting XI.

3. Substitutes Comparison

St. Pauli:

- Sinani (2G, 1A) – midfield rotation.
- Ritzka (1G) – LB cover.
- Afolayan (rotates XI/bench, 3G, 1A).
- Karol Mets, Dzwigala, Sands – defensive depth.
- Impact: Bench contributes sporadically (~6–7 goals, 5 assists).

Dortmund:

- Adeyemi (7G, 6A) – explosive winger, game-changer off bench.
- Nmecha (4G, 1A) – productive CM.
- Reyna (2G) – impact creator.
- Süle, Couto – defensive depth.
- Impact: Elite subs – ~15 goals, 10 assists available from bench.

4. Consolidated Quality Scorecard

Category

St. Pauli

Dortmund

Main Players

⭐⭐ (lost Eggestein, Saad, Boukhalfa)

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Guirassy, Brandt, Groß, Beier)

New Players

⭐⭐⭐ (Guilavogui 6G, Lage 7A)

⭐ (depth only, no XI changer)

Substitutes

⭐⭐ (Sinani, Afolayan, Ritzka rotation)

⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Adeyemi, Nmecha, Reyna)

Attack

⭐⭐ (Irvine + Guilavogui main options)

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Guirassy 21G, Adeyemi, Brandt, Beier)

Defense/GK

⭐⭐⭐ (Wahl, Smith, Vasilj stable)

⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Kobel, Schlotterbeck, Anton)

Overall Depth

Thin-Moderate

Elite

Key Weakness

Lost most attacking support

None significant

5. Predicted Outcome

Tactical Outlook:
- St. Pauli: Compact, defensive-minded, relying on Irvine’s late runs and Guilavogui/Pereira Lage’s creativity. Lack of a consistent 10+ goal striker weakens their threat.
- Dortmund: Dynamic frontline with Guirassy’s lethal finishing, Brandt’s playmaking, and Adeyemi’s speed from the bench. Strong GK + defense.

Expected Scoreline:
- St. Pauli 0 – 2 Borussia Dortmund (St. Pauli competitive but Dortmund’s squad depth and finishing are decisive).

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