Sha Tin Race Intelligence
Monday, 19 October 2026 • Races 1–11 • Four-report race view
SHEK MUN HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RUNNING CATEGORY REPORT
Racecard supplied: 13 runners • Source: SUMM worksheet only • Most recent recorded outing
Race 1 — Running styles and current declarations
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STAR BROSE | 8 | 135 | 14 Oct 2026 | 7 / 118 | 12-12-13-14-7-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1800 | Mixed movement |
| 2 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 3 | 134 | 06 Sep 2026 | 11 / 128 | 3-3-3-6 | Front Runner | 1600 | Decelerated |
| 3 | CAN’T GO WONG | 4 | 133 | 16 Sep 2026 | 10 / 120 | 1-4-2-1-8 | Front Runner | 1800 | Mixed movement |
| 4 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 5 | 133 | 04 Jul 2026 | 6 / 109 | 3-4-4-7-9 | Prominent Stalker | 1800 | Decelerated |
| 5 | YOUNG FIGHTER | 7 | 131 | 13 Sep 2026 | 3 / 132 | 6-7-7-10 | Prominent / Stalker | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 6 | I EXCELLE | 2 | 130 | 14 Oct 2026 | 14 / 130 | 13-14-11-3-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1600 | Mixed movement |
| 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 10 | 128 | 06 Sep 2026 | 1 / 130 | 9-7-6-14 | Midfield Runner | 1600 | Mixed movement |
| 8 | FORTUNE KINGO | 11 | 127 | 14 Oct 2026 | 12 / 125 | 12-10-9-2-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1600 | Accelerated |
| 9 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 1 | 125 | 23 Sep 2026 | 6 / 127 | 8-8-8-8 | Midfield Runner | 1650 | Maintained position |
| 10 | YOUNG STRIKER | 12 | 124 | 04 Jul 2026 | 3 / 129 | 11-11-8-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 11 | SMART CITY | 6 | 123 | 16 Sep 2026 | 8 / 123 | 5-6-10-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1000 | Decelerated |
| 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 13 | 123 | 14 Oct 2026 | 10 / 123 | 14-13-13-6-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1600 | Accelerated |
| 13 | PERFECT PAIRING | 9 | 115 | 23 Sep 2026 | 9 / 118 | 11-11-12-7 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1650 | Mixed movement |
Method: latest dated entry for each horse in SUMM, irrespective of distance. Category is a historical running-style indicator, not a guaranteed race-day position. Current draw and carried weight are from the supplied racecard image.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelSHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
RACE 1 – SHEK MUN HANDICAP | 12:30 PM | CLASS 5 | 1800m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; reference and record comparisons use the historical track and distance with Class 5 benchmarks. Negative variance indicates faster than reference.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STAR BROSE | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 3 | 118 | 135 | +17 | +0.70 | G4 Average | 7 | 108.29 | -2.02 | F1 Elite Fast | 107.33 | +0.96 |
| 2 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 3 | 127 | 134 | +7 | -0.01 | G2 Very Fast | 1 | 109.66 | -0.99 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.33 | +1.33 |
| 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 5 | 135 | 133 | -2 | +0.47 | G3 Fast | 8 | 110.42 | -0.83 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.33 | +2.09 |
| 4 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 7 | 133 | 126 | -7 | -0.17 | G2 Very Fast | 2 | 109.91 | -0.54 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.33 | +1.58 |
| 5 | YOUNG FIGHTER | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 1 | 130 | 131 | +1 | -0.05 | G2 Very Fast | 7 | 110.18 | -0.39 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.33 | +1.85 |
| 6 | I EXCELLE | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 3 | 130 | 130 | +0 | +1.36 | G6 Very Slow | 3 | 95.09 | -1.32 | F1 Elite Fast | 93.91 | +1.18 |
| 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 06/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 4 | 130 | 121 | -9 | +0.45 | G3 Fast | 14 | 95.32 | +0.10 | F2 Very Fast | 93.91 | +1.41 |
| 8 | FORTUNE KINGO | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 1 | 125 | 125 | +0 | +1.20 | G5 Slow | 2 | 95.08 | -1.09 | F1 Elite Fast | 93.91 | +1.17 |
| 9 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 23/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1650 | 1 | 127 | 125 | -2 | +0.80 | G4 Average | 8 | 100.13 | -0.37 | F1 Elite Fast | 98.85 | +1.28 |
| 10 | YOUNG STRIKER | 04/07/2026 | ST AWT | 1200 | 5 | 129 | 124 | -5 | +0.30 | G3 Fast | 8 | 70.03 | +0.18 | F2 Very Fast | 68.46 | +1.57 |
| 11 | SMART CITY | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 1 | 125 | 123 | -2 | +0.37 | G3 Fast | 10 | 83.70 | +0.86 | F5 Slow | 81.01 | +2.69 |
| 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 2 | 123 | 121 | -2 | +1.40 | G6 Very Slow | 6 | 95.37 | -1.16 | F1 Elite Fast | 93.91 | +1.46 |
| 13 | PERFECT PAIRING | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 3 | 117 | 115 | -2 | +0.99 | G5 Slow | 4 | 110.07 | -1.34 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.33 | +1.74 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceSHA TIN | POST-RACE GALLOPS BY TRACK
19 October 2026 | Races 1–11 | TRAINING sheet only | 2-lap and 3-lap benchmarks
Only gallops strictly after the last race date are counted. Best = lowest recorded total time for that lap count. Near = benchmark < time <= benchmark + 2.00 seconds; better/equal = time <= benchmark. Benchmarks: 3 laps 78.00 s; 2 laps 47.00 s. Debutants have no last-race reference and are shown separately.
RACE 1 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STAR BROSE | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 07 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 56.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 07 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 57.90 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 07 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | YOUNG FIGHTER | 07 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 52.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | I EXCELLE | 01 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 06 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 8 / Sha Tin Stall Test Turf: 1 | 9 | 1 | 48.30 | 0 / 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | FORTUNE KINGO | 01 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 23 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 3 | 3 | 1 | 48.90 | 0 / 1 | 1 | 85.50 | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | YOUNG STRIKER | 04 Jul 2026 | Conghua AWT: 10 / Conghua Turf: 1 | 11 | 5 | 51.00 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | SMART CITY | 04 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin Stall Test Turf: 1 | 1 | 1 | 52.30 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 13 | PERFECT PAIRING | 07 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 56.70 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
2. GOLDEN FORTUNE: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.80 s
3. CAN'T GO WONG: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.90 s
5. YOUNG FIGHTER: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 52.80 s
7. FIGHTING MACHINE: 15 Oct | Sha Tin Stall Test Turf | 2 laps | 48.30 s
9. CIRCUIT DUFFY: 05 Oct | Conghua AWT | 3 laps | 85.50 s; 15 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 48.90 s
10. YOUNG STRIKER: 17 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.30 s; 20 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.40 s; 25 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.50 s; 08 Oct | Conghua Turf | 2 laps | 51.00 s; 15 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 54.20 s
12. SPECIAL HEDGE: 15 Oct | Sha Tin Stall Test Turf | 2 laps | 52.30 s
13. PERFECT PAIRING: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.70 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesSHA TIN | TRAINER RULES & WEIGHT-PATTERN ASSESSMENT
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Race 1 - SHEK MUN HANDICAP | Class 5 | Turf C+3 Course 1800m | 12:30 PM
Locked rules: complete supplied weight history in oldest-to-newest order, followed by current weight; FP1 in orange; FP2 in blue; high-weight FP1 (132 lb or above) in magenta.
Method note: winning probabilities are indicative comparative estimates based only on the supplied form history, 1800m experience, recent placings, weight, draw and age. They are not calibrated forecasts.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1800m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 5 | 116 -> 131 -> 124 (FP2) -> 129 (FP2) -> 130 -> 128 -> 127 (FP1) -> 134 | 3 | 1 FP1; 2 FP2. 3 runs at 1800m (1 Sha Tin turf); 1 wins and 1 seconds at distance. Latest FP1 (HV C+3 1800m, 07/10/2026, 127 lb). Current 134 lb (+7 vs latest), draw 3, age 5. Rule 1: proven distance winner. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 20% |
| 2 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 6 | 116 (FP2) -> 115 (FP2) -> 119 -> 117 -> 128 (FP2) -> 109 -> 133 (FP2) -> 126 | 7 | 0 FP1; 4 FP2. 7 runs at 1800m (3 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 4 seconds at distance. Latest FP2 (HV C+3 1800m, 07/10/2026, 133 lb). Current 126 lb (-7 vs latest), draw 5, age 6. Rule 1: distance placing, but no supplied win. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 19% |
| 3 | FORTUNE KINGO | 5 | 116 -> 116 -> 114 -> 128 -> 130 -> 123 (FP2) -> 125 (FP2) -> 125 | 3 | 0 FP1; 2 FP2. 3 runs at 1800m (2 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP2 (ST A 1600m, 01/10/2026, 125 lb). Current 125 lb (+0 vs latest), draw 11, age 5. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 13% |
| 4 | STAR BROSE | 5 | 119 -> 122 -> 120 -> 121 -> 116 (FP2) -> 120 -> 118 -> 135 | 3 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 3 runs at 1800m (2 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP7 (ST A 1800m, 01/10/2026, 118 lb). Current 135 lb (+17 vs latest), draw 8, age 5. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: at 135 lb; class-drop interpretation requires separate class history verification. | 10% |
| 5 | I EXCELLE | 5 | 123 -> 120 -> 119 -> 120 -> 114 -> 129 -> 130 -> 130 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1800m (1 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP3 (ST A 1600m, 01/10/2026, 130 lb). Current 130 lb (+0 vs latest), draw 2, age 5. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 8% |
| 6 | PERFECT PAIRING | 7 | 126 -> 126 (FP2) -> 124 -> 124 -> 120 -> 118 -> 117 -> 115 | 3 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 3 runs at 1800m (1 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP4 (HV C+3 1800m, 07/10/2026, 117 lb). Current 115 lb (-2 vs latest), draw 9, age 7. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 7% |
| 7 | CAN'T GO WONG | 8 | 126 -> 123 -> 120 -> 118 -> 120 -> 120 -> 135 -> 133 | 5 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1800m (0 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP8 (HV C+3 1800m, 07/10/2026, 135 lb). Current 133 lb (-2 vs latest), draw 4, age 8. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 7% |
| 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7 | 120 -> 117 -> 114 -> 132 -> 125 -> 130 -> 123 -> 121 | 4 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1800m (2 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP6 (ST A 1600m, 01/10/2026, 123 lb). Current 121 lb (-2 vs latest), draw 13, age 7. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 4% |
| 9 | SMART CITY | 7 | 116 -> 119 -> 134 -> 132 -> 132 -> 123 -> 125 -> 123 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1800m (0 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP10 (ST B 1400m, 04/10/2026, 125 lb). Current 123 lb (-2 vs latest), draw 6, age 7. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 4% |
| 10 | YOUNG FIGHTER | 4 | 126 -> 123 -> 124 -> 122 -> 120 -> 132 -> 130 -> 131 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1800m (0 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP7 (HV C+3 1800m, 07/10/2026, 130 lb). Current 131 lb (+1 vs latest), draw 7, age 4. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 3% |
| 11 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 6 | 122 -> 119 -> 117 -> 116 -> 116 -> 133 -> 127 -> 125 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1800m (0 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP8 (HV C 1650m, 23/09/2026, 127 lb). Current 125 lb (-2 vs latest), draw 1, age 6. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 2% |
| 12 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 7 | 125 -> 124 -> 122 -> 123 -> 117 -> 115 -> 130 -> 121 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1800m (0 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP14 (ST A 1600m, 06/09/2026, 130 lb). Current 121 lb (-9 vs latest), draw 10, age 7. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 2% |
| 13 | YOUNG STRIKER | 5 | 126 -> 124 -> 123 -> 115 -> 134 -> 132 -> 129 -> 124 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1800m (0 Sha Tin turf); 0 wins and 0 seconds at distance. Latest FP8 (ST AWT 1200m, 04/07/2026, 129 lb). Current 124 lb (-5 vs latest), draw 12, age 5. Rule 1: no recorded 1800m win in supplied runs. Rule 2: weight alone does not confirm class movement. | 1% |
Source: supplied Sha Tin 19 October 2026 Race 1 form guide (last update 15 October 2026). Historical patterns cover only the seven runs displayed for each horse.
SUN CHUI HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 2 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRUE BROTHERS | 7 | 135 | 14 Oct 2026 | 7 / 127 | 1-1-1-13-0 | Front Runner | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 2 | CHILL PARTNERS | 5 | 134 | 14 Oct 2026 | 14 / 131 | 2-2-2-3-0 | Front Runner | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 3 | POSITIVE SMILE | 14 | 132 | 06 Sep 2026 | 2 / 132 | 6-2-2-9 | Prominent / Stalker | 1400 | Mixed movement |
| 4 | ISLAND HIGHFLYER | 13 | 131 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 5 | LEAN GENERAL | 8 | 131 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 6 | PEGASUS ELITE | 6 | 131 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 7 | SHANNON GLOW | 12 | 131 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 8 | GHORGAN | 4 | 129 | 13 Sep 2026 | 14 / 128 | 9-10-9-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Mixed movement |
| 9 | JOKER ORBIT | 2 | 129 | 14 Oct 2026 | 2 / 126 | 4-5-6-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 10 | INVICTUS | 3 | 128 | 23 Sep 2026 | 4 / 126 | 2-2-4-0 | Front Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 11 | SHOTGUN | 1 | 128 | 15 Jul 2026 | 1 / 125 | 2-1-7-0 | Front Runner | 1200 | Mixed movement |
| 12 | TRENDY RUSH | 11 | 127 | 01 Jul 2026 | 6 / 122 | 10-9-8-2 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1400 | Accelerated |
| 13 | ILLUMINOUS | 10 | 121 | 09 May 2026 | 13 / 123 | 13-13-13-12 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1600 | Accelerated |
| 14 | HEALTHY PONY | 9 | 119 | 23 Sep 2026 | 4 / 118 | 7-6-6-9 | Midfield Runner | 1650 | Mixed movement |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 2 – SUN CHUI HANDICAP | 1:00 PM | CLASS 4 | 1400m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 4. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRUE BROTHERS | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 3 | 127 | 128 | +1 | +0.20 | G3 Fast | 13 | 83.31 | +0.31 | F3 Fast | 80.76 | +2.55 |
| 2 | CHILL PARTNERS | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 5 | 131 | 134 | +3 | +0.24 | G3 Fast | 3 | 82.32 | -0.72 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +1.56 |
| 3 | POSITIVE SMILE | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 5 | 130 | 132 | +2 | +0.99 | G5 Slow | 9 | 81.56 | -0.50 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +0.80 |
| 4 | ISLAND HIGHFLYER | — | — | — | — | — | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | LEAN GENERAL | — | — | — | — | — | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | PEGASUS ELITE | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 1 | 127 | 131 | +4 | +1.07 | G5 Slow | 10 | 81.64 | -0.66 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +0.88 |
| 7 | SHANNON GLOW | — | — | — | — | — | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | GHORGAN | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 4 | 126 | 129 | +3 | +0.45 | G3 Fast | 3 | 81.59 | -0.44 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +0.83 |
| 9 | JOKER ORBIT | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 7 | 126 | 126 | +0 | +1.27 | G6 Very Slow | 6 | 69.29 | -1.09 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +0.93 |
| 10 | INVICTUS | 23/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1200 | 1 | 126 | 128 | +2 | +0.27 | G3 Fast | 4 | 70.16 | -0.07 | F2 Very Fast | 68.60 | +1.56 |
| 11 | SHOTGUN | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 4 | 124 | 128 | +4 | -0.17 | G2 Very Fast | 3 | 81.17 | -0.01 | F2 Very Fast | 80.76 | +0.41 |
| 12 | TRENDY RUSH | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 5 | 126 | 127 | +1 | +1.17 | G5 Slow | 6 | 69.84 | -0.66 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +1.48 |
| 13 | ILLUMINOUS | 09/05/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 3 | 123 | 121 | -2 | +1.32 | G6 Very Slow | 12 | 96.78 | +1.05 | F5 Slow | 93.28 | +3.50 |
| 14 | HEALTHY PONY | 23/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1650 | 2 | 118 | 117 | -1 | +0.65 | G4 Average | 9 | 100.19 | +0.70 | F4 Average | 98.42 | +1.77 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 2 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRUE BROTHERS | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 59.90 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | CHILL PARTNERS | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 57.30 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | POSITIVE SMILE | 04 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | ISLAND HIGHFLYER | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | LEAN GENERAL | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | PEGASUS ELITE | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 1 | 82.80 | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | SHANNON GLOW | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | GHORGAN | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin Turf: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 3 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 1 | 83.20 | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | JOKER ORBIT | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 2 | 54.50 | 0 / 0 | 1 | 85.00 | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | INVICTUS | 23 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | SHOTGUN | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 50.60 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | TRENDY RUSH | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 58.00 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 13 | ILLUMINOUS | 09 May 2026 | Conghua AWT: 13 / Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 14 | 4 | 55.50 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 14 | HEALTHY PONY | 23 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 1 / Conghua Uphill: 1 | 2 | 1 | 51.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. TRUE BROTHERS: 14 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 59.90 s
2. CHILL PARTNERS: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.30 s
6. PEGASUS ELITE: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 82.80 s
8. GHORGAN: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 83.20 s
9. JOKER ORBIT: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.40 s; 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 85.00 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 54.50 s
11. SHOTGUN: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 50.60 s
12. TRENDY RUSH: 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 61.20 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.00 s
13. ILLUMINOUS: 17 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 59.80 s; 21 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.60 s; 25 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.90 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.50 s
14. HEALTHY PONY: 14 Oct | Conghua Uphill | 2 laps | 51.80 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 2 | SUN CHUI HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 4 060-040 1400m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 1:00 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1400m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SHOTGUN | 5 | 116 (FP2) -> 119 (FP1) -> 125 -> 125 -> 120 -> 125 -> 124 -> 128 | 4 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1400m (4 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1400m at 124 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 1; current 128 lb. | 23% |
| 2 | CHILL PARTNERS | 4 | 124 (FP2) -> 126 (FP1) -> 131 -> 131 -> 135 -> 133 -> 131 -> 134 | 5 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 5 runs at 1400m (5 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1400m at 131 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 5; current 134 lb. | 21% |
| 3 | GHORGAN | 5 | 120 -> 122 -> 115 -> 133 -> 131 -> 128 -> 126 -> 129 | 4 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1400m (4 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1400m at 126 lb. Draw 4; current 129 lb. | 9% |
| 4 | INVICTUS | 4 | 127 -> 129 -> 127 -> 126 -> 126 -> 128 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1400m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1200m at 126 lb. Draw 3; current 128 lb. | 7% |
| 5 | TRENDY RUSH | 4 | 127 -> 127 -> 126 -> 125 -> 122 (FP2) -> 126 -> 127 | 1 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1400m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1200m at 126 lb. Draw 11; current 127 lb. | 7% |
| 6 | ILLUMINOUS | 7 | 117 -> 134 -> 131 -> 128 -> 128 -> 124 -> 123 -> 121 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1400m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP12 over 1600m at 123 lb. Draw 10; current 121 lb. | 6% |
| 7 | POSITIVE SMILE | 6 | 120 -> 118 -> 135 -> 116 -> 135 -> 132 -> 130 -> 132 | 5 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1400m (5 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP9 over 1400m at 130 lb. Draw 14; current 132 lb. | 5% |
| 8 | TRUE BROTHERS | 5 | 126 -> 123 -> 117 -> 135 -> 127 -> 128 | 3 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 3 runs at 1400m (3 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP13 over 1400m at 127 lb. Draw 7; current 128 lb. | 5% |
| 9 | HEALTHY PONY | 5 | 128 -> 128 -> 127 -> 124 -> 121 -> 118 -> 117 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1400m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP9 over 1650m at 118 lb. Draw 9; current 117 lb. | 4% |
| 10 | JOKER ORBIT | 4 | 122 -> 117 -> 115 -> 135 -> 132 -> 127 -> 126 -> 126 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1200m at 126 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 2; current 126 lb. | 4% |
| 11 | PEGASUS ELITE | 4 | 127 -> 131 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1400m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP10 over 1400m at 127 lb. Draw 6; current 131 lb. | 3% |
| 12 | ISLAND HIGHFLYER | 4 | -> 131 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 13; current 131 lb. | 2% |
| 13 | LEAN GENERAL | 4 | -> 131 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 8; current 131 lb. | 2% |
| 14 | SHANNON GLOW | 4 | -> 129 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 12; current 129 lb. | 2% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
CHUN SHEK HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 3 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DREAMING TOGETHER | 9 | 135 | 09 Sep 2026 | 9 / 118 | 8-9-11-10 | Midfield Runner | 1650 | Mixed movement |
| 2 | VICTOR SUPREME | 7 | 135 | 14 Oct 2026 | 3 / 135 | 5-6-5-6-2-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1800 | Mixed movement |
| 3 | DOUBLE WIN | 1 | 134 | 27 Jun 2026 | 11 / 133 | 10-11-9-12-8 | Backmarker (Closer) | 2000 | Mixed movement |
| 4 | SUGAR GOODSON | 13 | 134 | 06 Sep 2026 | 4 / 115 | 12-13-13-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 5 | AMAZING GAZE | 5 | 128 | 23 Sep 2026 | 3 / 128 | 4-5-5-6 | Prominent / Stalker | 1650 | Decelerated |
| 6 | LUCKY BALERION | 6 | 127 | 13 Sep 2026 | 14 / 127 | 4-2-2-7 | Prominent / Stalker | 1600 | Mixed movement |
| 7 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 3 | 127 | 15 Jul 2026 | 11 / 129 | 11-9-9-9-10 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1800 | Mixed movement |
| 8 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 14 | 125 | 14 Oct 2026 | 11 / 125 | 11-11-9-7-9-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1800 | Mixed movement |
| 9 | LUCKY YEAR | 4 | 124 | 14 Oct 2026 | 13 / 124 | 8-9-12-12-6-0 | Midfield Runner | 1800 | Mixed movement |
| 10 | BIG BIG WORLD | 10 | 123 | 13 Sep 2026 | 2 / 126 | 8-7-7-9 | Midfield Runner | 1400 | Mixed movement |
| 11 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 12 | 123 | 14 Oct 2026 | 1 / 124 | 10-10-10-8-3-0 | Midfield Runner | 1800 | Accelerated |
| 12 | KING OF SELECTION | 11 | 120 | 23 Sep 2026 | 8 / 120 | 12-12-12-4 | Backmarker / Closer | 1650 | Accelerated |
| 13 | GOOD GOOD | 8 | 118 | 14 Oct 2026 | 8 / 120 | 1-3-3-5-14-0 | Front Runner | 1800 | Decelerated |
| 14 | ON THE LASH | 2 | 117 | 14 Oct 2026 | 14 / 118 | 7-2-2-2-8-0 | Midfield Runner | 1800 | Mixed movement |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 3 – CHUN SHEK HANDICAP | 1:30 PM | CLASS 4 | 1800m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 4. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DREAMING TOGETHER | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 1 | 116 | 135 | +19 | +0.12 | G2 Very Fast | 3 | 107.20 | -0.93 | F1 Elite Fast | 106.54 | +0.66 |
| 2 | VICTOR SUPREME | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 2 | 135 | 135 | +0 | +0.28 | G3 Fast | 2 | 107.99 | -1.43 | F1 Elite Fast | 106.54 | +1.45 |
| 3 | DOUBLE WIN | 27/06/2026 | ST Turf | 2000 | 4 | 133 | 134 | +1 | +0.86 | G5 Slow | 8 | 122.29 | -0.64 | F1 Elite Fast | 120.67 | +1.62 |
| 4 | SUGAR GOODSON | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 135 | 134 | -1 | +0.39 | G3 Fast | 13 | 81.95 | +0.29 | F3 Fast | 80.76 | +1.19 |
| 5 | AMAZING GAZE | 23/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1650 | 2 | 128 | 128 | +0 | +0.32 | G3 Fast | 6 | 99.89 | +0.07 | F2 Very Fast | 98.42 | +1.47 |
| 6 | LUCKY BALERION | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 3 | 127 | 127 | +0 | +0.27 | G3 Fast | 7 | 94.25 | -0.41 | F1 Elite Fast | 93.28 | +0.97 |
| 7 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 15/07/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 4 | 129 | 127 | -2 | +1.01 | G5 Slow | 10 | 109.83 | -0.59 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.10 | +1.73 |
| 8 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 4 | 125 | 125 | +0 | +0.72 | G4 Average | 9 | 109.40 | -0.06 | F2 Very Fast | 106.54 | +2.86 |
| 9 | LUCKY YEAR | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 1 | 124 | 124 | +0 | +0.52 | G4 Average | 6 | 108.21 | -1.57 | F1 Elite Fast | 106.54 | +1.67 |
| 10 | BIG BIG WORLD | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 126 | 123 | -3 | +0.23 | G3 Fast | 9 | 81.58 | -0.43 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +0.82 |
| 11 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 4 | 124 | 123 | -1 | +0.68 | G4 Average | 3 | 108.08 | -1.54 | F1 Elite Fast | 106.54 | +1.54 |
| 12 | KING OF SELECTION | 23/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1650 | 5 | 120 | 120 | +0 | +1.53 | G6 Very Slow | 4 | 99.74 | -0.31 | F1 Elite Fast | 98.42 | +1.32 |
| 13 | GOOD GOOD | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 4 | 120 | 116 | -4 | +0.00 | G2 Very Fast | 14 | 110.23 | +0.85 | F5 Slow | 106.54 | +3.69 |
| 14 | ON THE LASH | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 5 | 118 | 110 | -8 | +0.40 | G3 Fast | 8 | 108.90 | -0.28 | F1 Elite Fast | 106.54 | +2.36 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 3 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DREAMING TOGETHER | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 2 | 83.40 | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | VICTOR SUPREME | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 55.00 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | DOUBLE WIN | 27 Jun 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 / Conghua AWT: 1 / Conghua Turf: 1 / Conghua Uphill: 1 | 6 | 1 | 59.60 | 0 / 0 | 2 | 88.20 | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | SUGAR GOODSON | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 1 | 53.60 | 0 / 0 | 1 | 85.40 | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | AMAZING GAZE | 23 Sep 2026 | Conghua Uphill: 1 / Conghua Turf: 2 | 3 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 1 | 90.70 | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | LUCKY BALERION | 13 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 6 | 6 | 1 | 56.70 | 0 / 0 | 2 | 83.40 | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 15 Jul 2026 | Conghua AWT: 2 / Sha Tin Stall Test Turf: 3 / Sha Tin Turf: 2 | 7 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | LUCKY YEAR | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 55.70 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | BIG BIG WORLD | 13 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 6 | 6 | 2 | 52.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 1 | 85.10 | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | KING OF SELECTION | 23 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 / Sha Tin Stall Test Turf: 1 | 3 | 2 | 48.80 | 0 / 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 13 | GOOD GOOD | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 / Conghua AWT: 1 | 2 | 2 | 57.50 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 14 | ON THE LASH | 01 Oct 2026 | Conghua Turf: 1 | 1 | 1 | 57.40 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. DREAMING TOGETHER: 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 86.40 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 83.40 s
2. VICTOR SUPREME: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.00 s
3. DOUBLE WIN: 20 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 59.60 s; 17 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 88.20 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 88.40 s
4. SUGAR GOODSON: 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 85.40 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.60 s
5. AMAZING GAZE: 03 Oct | Conghua Turf | 3 laps | 90.70 s
6. LUCKY BALERION: 25 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 83.90 s; 06 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 83.40 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.70 s
9. LUCKY YEAR: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.70 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.70 s
10. BIG BIG WORLD: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 52.80 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.80 s
11. SUPREME MASTERMIND: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 85.10 s
12. KING OF SELECTION: 08 Oct | Sha Tin Stall Test Turf | 2 laps | 48.80 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.20 s
13. GOOD GOOD: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.50 s; 15 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.50 s
14. ON THE LASH: 15 Oct | Conghua Turf | 2 laps | 57.40 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 3 | CHUN SHEK HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 4 060-040 1800m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 1:30 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1800m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 6 | 119 -> 116 (FP1) -> 123 -> 123 -> 120 -> 122 (FP1) -> 125 -> 125 | 4 | 2 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1800m (3 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP9 over 1800m at 125 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 14; current 125 lb. | 18% |
| 2 | VICTOR SUPREME | 4 | 126 -> 129 -> 124 -> 123 (FP2) -> 125 (FP1) -> 135 -> 135 (FP2) -> 135 | 2 | 1 FP1; 2 FP2. 2 runs at 1800m (2 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1800m at 135 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Rule 2: 135 lb - review possible class movement. Draw 7; current 135 lb. | 14% |
| 3 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 7 | 124 -> 122 -> 121 (FP2) -> 125 (FP1) -> 130 -> 127 -> 129 -> 127 | 4 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1800m (3 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP10 over 1800m at 129 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 3; current 127 lb. | 13% |
| 4 | ON THE LASH | 6 | 133 -> 129 -> 132 -> 121 (FP1) -> 110 -> 117 -> 118 -> 110 | 5 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1800m (4 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1800m at 118 lb. Draw 2; current 110 lb. | 13% |
| 5 | AMAZING GAZE | 5 | 128 -> 129 -> 130 -> 127 -> 126 -> 120 (FP1) -> 128 -> 128 | 4 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1800m (3 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1650m at 128 lb. Draw 5; current 128 lb. | 7% |
| 6 | GOOD GOOD | 6 | 130 -> 126 (FP2) -> 128 -> 126 -> 124 -> 122 -> 120 -> 116 | 4 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1800m (4 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP14 over 1800m at 120 lb. Draw 8; current 116 lb. | 7% |
| 7 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 5 | 115 -> 133 -> 132 -> 117 -> 131 -> 128 -> 124 -> 123 (Draw 12 an issue) | 4 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1800m (4 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1800m at 124 lb. Draw 12; current 123 lb. | 6% |
| 8 | DOUBLE WIN | 7 | 127 -> 129 -> 130 -> 128 -> 129 (FP2) -> 130 (FP1) -> 133 -> 134 | 1 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1800m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 2000m at 133 lb. Draw 1; current 134 lb. | 5% |
| 9 | LUCKY YEAR | 5 | 128 -> 124 (FP2) -> 126 -> 127 -> 126 -> 124 (FP2) -> 124 -> 124 | 1 | 0 FP1; 2 FP2. 1 runs at 1800m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1800m at 124 lb. Draw 4; current 124 lb. | 4% |
| 10 | DREAMING TOGETHER | 5 | 127 -> 123 -> 126 -> 126 -> 120 -> 118 -> 116 -> 135 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1800m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1800m at 116 lb. Rule 2: 135 lb - review possible class movement. Draw 9; current 135 lb. | 4% |
| 11 | LUCKY BALERION | 4 | 127 -> 127 -> 125 -> 124 (FP2) -> 126 (FP2) -> 127 -> 127 | 0 | 0 FP1; 2 FP2. 0 runs at 1800m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1600m at 127 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 6; current 127 lb. | 4% |
| 12 | KING OF SELECTION | 5 | 117 -> 117 -> 133 -> 129 -> 128 -> 123 -> 120 -> 120 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1800m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1650m at 120 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 11; current 120 lb. | 2% |
| 13 | BIG BIG WORLD | 4 | 130 -> 129 -> 126 -> 123 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1800m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP9 over 1400m at 126 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 10; current 123 lb. | 2% |
| 14 | SUGAR GOODSON | 3 | 125 -> 122 -> 115 -> 135 -> 134 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1800m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP13 over 1400m at 135 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 13; current 134 lb. | 1% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
SUN CHUI HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 4 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 4 | 135 | 14 Oct 2026 | 5 / 133 | 11-11-11-8-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1400 | Accelerated |
| 2 | WATCH LEGEND | 8 | 134 | 12 Jul 2026 | 7 / 115 | 8-8-12-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 3 | CHIU CHOW GOLF | 13 | 132 | 13 Jun 2026 | 6 / 128 | 6-6-6-11 | Midfield Runner | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 4 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 5 | 131 | 13 Sep 2026 | 12 / 131 | 6-8-10-5 | Prominent / Stalker | 1400 | Mixed movement |
| 5 | COMIC | 12 | 130 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 6 | MR INVINCIBLE | 7 | 130 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 7 | NOT USUAL DOUBLE | 10 | 130 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 8 | LESLIE | 2 | 127 | 27 Jun 2026 | 13 / 125 | 14-13-12-8 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1650 | Accelerated |
| 9 | COOGEE BAY | 9 | 126 | 04 Jul 2026 | 8 / 126 | 7-7-8-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 10 | DRAGON GENERATION | 1 | 126 | 04 Jul 2026 | 3 / 126 | 10-8-5-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 11 | HOT AIR BALLON | 11 | 126 | 12 Jul 2026 | 14 / 127 | 9-11-11-4 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1400 | Mixed movement |
| 12 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 3 | 120 | 24 May 2026 | 3 / 123 | 4-6-6-10 | Prominent Stalker | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 13 | LAKESHORE HERO | 14 | 118 | 14 Oct 2026 | 13 / 117 | 14-14-8-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 14 | STAR SATYR | 6 | 118 | 14 Oct 2026 | 13 / 114 | 14-13-12-4-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1400 | Accelerated |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 4 – SUN CHUI HANDICAP | 2:00 PM | CLASS 4 | 1400m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 4. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 133 | 133 | +0 | +1.00 | G5 Slow | 8 | 82.76 | -1.24 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +2.00 |
| 2 | WATCH LEGEND | 27/09/2026 | ST AWT | 1200 | 2 | 130 | 134 | +4 | +0.66 | G4 Average | 8 | 71.09 | +0.79 | F4 Average | 68.14 | +2.95 |
| 3 | CHIU CHOW GOLF | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 125 | 132 | +7 | +0.65 | G4 Average | 1 | 81.53 | -0.98 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +0.77 |
| 4 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 7 | 130 | 131 | +1 | +0.44 | G3 Fast | 4 | 81.84 | -0.86 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +1.08 |
| 5 | COMIC | — | — | — | — | — | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | MR INVINCIBLE | — | — | — | — | — | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7 | NOT USUAL DOUBLE | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 1 | 131 | 130 | -1 | +0.93 | G5 Slow | 4 | 69.07 | -0.85 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +0.71 |
| 8 | LESLIE | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 1 | 125 | 127 | +2 | +1.31 | G6 Very Slow | 14 | 82.05 | -0.25 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +1.29 |
| 9 | COOGEE BAY | 04/07/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 2 | 126 | 123 | -3 | +0.71 | G4 Average | 8 | 71.51 | +1.11 | F5 Slow | 68.36 | +3.15 |
| 10 | DRAGON GENERATION | 04/07/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 1 | 126 | 126 | +0 | +0.95 | G5 Slow | 5 | 70.84 | +0.36 | F3 Fast | 68.36 | +2.48 |
| 11 | HOT AIR BALLON | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 124 | 126 | +2 | +0.61 | G4 Average | 5 | 81.76 | -0.67 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +1.00 |
| 12 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 1 | 123 | 120 | -3 | +0.73 | G4 Average | 5 | 69.26 | -0.70 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +0.90 |
| 13 | LAKESHORE HERO | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 5 | 117 | 118 | +1 | +2.19 | G6 Very Slow | 8 | 69.38 | -1.64 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +1.02 |
| 14 | STAR SATYR | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 6 | 114 | 116 | +2 | +1.20 | G6 Very Slow | 4 | 82.33 | -1.71 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +1.57 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 4 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | WATCH LEGEND | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua Turf: 1 / Conghua AWT: 1 / Conghua Uphill: 1 | 3 | 2 | 54.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | CHIU CHOW GOLF | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 2 | 1 | 58.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 56.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | COMIC | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | MR INVINCIBLE | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | NOT USUAL DOUBLE | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | LESLIE | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin Stall Test Turf: 1 | 1 | 1 | 52.30 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | COOGEE BAY | 04 Jul 2026 | Conghua AWT: 11 / Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 13 | 5 | 56.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | DRAGON GENERATION | 04 Jul 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 14 | 14 | 4 | 56.30 | 0 / 0 | 2 | 82.70 | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | HOT AIR BALLON | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua Turf: 2 | 2 | 1 | 55.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 1 | 56.00 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 13 | LAKESHORE HERO | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 55.70 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 14 | STAR SATYR | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 55.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
2. WATCH LEGEND: 08 Oct | Conghua Turf | 2 laps | 54.80 s; 11 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 57.50 s
3. CHIU CHOW GOLF: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.80 s
4. CALIFORNIA WAVES: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.10 s
8. LESLIE: 15 Oct | Sha Tin Stall Test Turf | 2 laps | 52.30 s
9. COOGEE BAY: 10 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 59.90 s; 17 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 57.20 s; 20 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.10 s; 24 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.80 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.90 s
10. DRAGON GENERATION: 15 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.30 s; 18 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.90 s; 01 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.60 s; 05 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.30 s; 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 60.70 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 82.70 s
11. HOT AIR BALLON: 15 Oct | Conghua Turf | 2 laps | 55.80 s
12. JUST FOLLOW ME: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.00 s
13. LAKESHORE HERO: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.70 s
14. STAR SATYR: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.50 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.80 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 4 | SUN CHUI HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 4 060-040 1400m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 2:00 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1400m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHIU CHOW GOLF | 4 | 130 -> 128 -> 125 (FP1) -> 132 | 2 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1400m (2 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1400m at 125 lb. Draw 13; current 132 lb. | 21% |
| 2 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 4 | 124 -> 122 -> 120 (FP2) -> 121 (FP2) -> 123 -> 123 -> 123 -> 120 | 6 | 0 FP1; 2 FP2. 6 runs at 1400m (6 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 1200m at 123 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 3; current 120 lb. | 18% |
| 3 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 5 | 120 -> 121 -> 118 -> 116 -> 135 -> 131 -> 130 -> 131 | 7 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 7 runs at 1400m (7 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1400m at 130 lb. Draw 5; current 131 lb. | 11% |
| 4 | STAR SATYR | 5 | 127 -> 127 -> 125 -> 121 -> 119 -> 115 -> 114 -> 116 | 6 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 6 runs at 1400m (6 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1400m at 114 lb. Draw 6; current 116 lb. | 9% |
| 5 | LESLIE | 8 | 123 -> 122 -> 121 -> 120 (FP1) -> 125 -> 125 -> 125 -> 127 | 1 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1400m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP14 over 1400m at 125 lb. Draw 2; current 127 lb. | 8% |
| 6 | LAKESHORE HERO | 6 | 119 -> 117 -> 109 -> 135 -> 133 (FP2) -> 135 (FP2) -> 117 -> 118 | 0 | 0 FP1; 2 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1200m at 117 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 14; current 118 lb. | 7% |
| 7 | HOT AIR BALLON | 5 | 127 -> 131 -> 127 -> 127 -> 124 -> 126 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1400m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 1400m at 124 lb. Draw 11; current 126 lb. | 5% |
| 8 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 6 | 123 -> 126 -> 122 -> 122 -> 119 -> 110 -> 133 -> 133 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1400m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1400m at 133 lb. Draw 4; current 133 lb. | 4% |
| 9 | DRAGON GENERATION | 3 | 126 -> 126 -> 126 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 1200m at 126 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 1; current 126 lb. | 4% |
| 10 | COOGEE BAY | 3 | 126 -> 126 -> 123 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1200m at 126 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 9; current 123 lb. | 4% |
| 11 | NOT USUAL DOUBLE | 4 | 131 -> 130 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1200m at 131 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 10; current 130 lb. | 3% |
| 12 | COMIC | 4 | -> 130 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 12; current 130 lb. | 2% |
| 13 | MR INVINCIBLE | 4 | -> 128 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 7; current 128 lb. | 2% |
| 14 | WATCH LEGEND | 4 | 122 -> 117 -> 115 -> 130 -> 134 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1200m at 130 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 8; current 134 lb. | 2% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
LUNG HANG HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 5 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | REAL GENTLEMAN | 9 | 135 | 15 Jul 2026 | 4 / 132 | 2-3-12-0 | Front Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 2 | WOLF COMING | 2 | 132 | 01 Apr 2026 | 4 / 134 | 4-5-6-0 | Prominent Stalker | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 3 | COSMO DRAGON | 12 | 128 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 4 | HAPPY SPECIAL | 10 | 127 | 21 Jun 2026 | 10 / 127 | 6-6-11-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 5 | SHARP PLANET | 8 | 127 | 13 Jun 2026 | 1 / 126 | 6-5-6-0 | Midfield Runner | 1000 | Mixed movement |
| 6 | SMILING SKY | 6 | 127 | 04 Jul 2026 | 7 / 128 | 9-10-11-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 7 | VOYAGE CAPTAIN | 7 | 127 | 19 Feb 2026 | 8 / 129 | 14-14-7-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 8 | GUTSY BRAVO | 11 | 126 | 21 Jun 2026 | 14 / 125 | 14-13-3-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 9 | NEVER SETTLE | 4 | 126 | 19 Feb 2026 | 11 / 128 | 11-12-11-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1200 | Mixed movement |
| 10 | NAVAS G | 3 | 123 | 27 Jun 2026 | 14 / 126 | 7-7-8-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 11 | THUNDER PRINCE | 5 | 122 | 13 Sep 2026 | 1 / 124 | 8-8-3-0 | Midfield Runner | 1000 | Accelerated |
| 12 | CIRRUS SPEED | 1 | 116 | 14 Oct 2026 | 3 / 129 | 1-1-1-0 | Front Runner | 1200 | Maintained position |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 5 – LUNG HANG HANDICAP | 2:30 PM | CLASS 4 | 1200m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 4. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | REAL GENTLEMAN | 15/07/2026 | HV Turf | 1200 | 5 | 132 | 135 | +3 | -0.12 | G2 Very Fast | 12 | 72.49 | +2.60 | F6 Very Slow | 68.60 | +3.89 |
| 2 | WOLF COMING | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 6 | 133 | 132 | -1 | +0.89 | G5 Slow | 2 | 69.68 | -0.66 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +1.32 |
| 3 | COSMO DRAGON | — | — | — | — | — | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | HAPPY SPECIAL | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 2 | 129 | 127 | -2 | +0.21 | G3 Fast | 4 | 69.82 | +0.08 | F2 Very Fast | 68.36 | +1.46 |
| 5 | SHARP PLANET | 13/06/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 2 | 126 | 124 | -2 | +0.89 | G5 Slow | 6 | 57.32 | -0.25 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +2.38 |
| 6 | SMILING SKY | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 2 | 129 | 125 | -4 | +0.45 | G3 Fast | 5 | 69.83 | -0.11 | F2 Very Fast | 68.36 | +1.47 |
| 7 | VOYAGE CAPTAIN | 19/02/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 1 | 129 | 120 | -9 | +1.54 | G6 Very Slow | 7 | 69.90 | -0.81 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +1.54 |
| 8 | GUTSY BRAVO | 21/06/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 2 | 125 | 126 | +1 | +1.11 | G5 Slow | 3 | 69.29 | -1.10 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +0.93 |
| 9 | NEVER SETTLE | 19/02/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 4 | 128 | 126 | -2 | +1.16 | G5 Slow | 11 | 70.00 | -0.33 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +1.64 |
| 10 | NAVAS G | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 5 | 116 | 123 | +7 | +0.17 | G2 Very Fast | 3 | 69.07 | -0.53 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +0.71 |
| 11 | THUNDER PRINCE | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 3 | 124 | 122 | -2 | +0.23 | G3 Fast | 7 | 56.16 | -0.42 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +1.22 |
| 12 | CIRRUS SPEED | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 6 | 129 | 116 | -13 | +0.17 | G2 Very Fast | 1 | 68.53 | -0.85 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +0.17 |
| 13 | PERFECT PAIRING | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 3 | 117 | 115 | -2 | +0.99 | G5 Slow | 4 | 110.07 | -1.34 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.33 | +1.74 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 5 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | REAL GENTLEMAN | 15 Jul 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 11 / Sha Tin Turf: 1 | 12 | 6 | 57.00 | 0 / 0 | 2 | 87.90 | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | WOLF COMING | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 53.00 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | COSMO DRAGON | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | HAPPY SPECIAL | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 55.70 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | SHARP PLANET | 13 Jun 2026 | Conghua AWT: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 6 | 7 | 2 | 50.80 | 0 / 0 | 4 | 82.90 | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | SMILING SKY | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 61.00 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | VOYAGE CAPTAIN | 19 Feb 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 13 / Conghua Turf: 1 / Conghua AWT: 1 | 15 | 4 | 55.00 | 0 / 0 | 2 | 85.60 | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | GUTSY BRAVO | 21 Jun 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 14 | 14 | 4 | 55.40 | 0 / 0 | 3 | 84.80 | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | NEVER SETTLE | 19 Feb 2026 | Conghua AWT: 13 / Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 14 | 4 | 55.80 | 0 / 0 | 1 | 87.90 | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | NAVAS G | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 / Sha Tin Turf: 1 | 2 | 1 | 54.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | THUNDER PRINCE | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 2 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | CIRRUS SPEED | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 57.40 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. REAL GENTLEMAN: 05 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.90 s; 10 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 60.00 s; 14 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.90 s; 18 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.90 s; 22 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.90 s; 15 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 90.70 s; 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.60 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.00 s
2. WOLF COMING: 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.50 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.00 s
4. HAPPY SPECIAL: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.70 s
5. SHARP PLANET: 09 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 59.30 s; 19 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 90.10 s; 24 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 82.90 s; 01 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 50.80 s; 08 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 85.10 s; 01 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 86.20 s
6. SMILING SKY: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 61.00 s
7. VOYAGE CAPTAIN: 09 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 64.10 s; 20 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 60.40 s; 23 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.00 s; 11 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 91.30 s; 01 Oct | Conghua Turf | 3 laps | 85.60 s; 14 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 59.90 s
8. GUTSY BRAVO: 15 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 59.40 s; 18 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.70 s; 22 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.50 s; 25 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.40 s; 01 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.70 s; 14 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 84.80 s; 21 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.40 s
9. NEVER SETTLE: 15 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.80 s; 18 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.30 s; 21 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.00 s; 25 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 55.80 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.90 s
10. NAVAS G: 15 Oct | Sha Tin Turf | 2 laps | 54.10 s
12. CIRRUS SPEED: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.40 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 5 | LUNG HANG HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 4 060-040 1200m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 2:30 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1200m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIRRUS SPEED | 5 | 120 -> 118 -> 117 -> 116 -> 135 -> 133 -> 129 (FP1) -> 116 | 6 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 6 runs at 1200m (5 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1200m at 129 lb. Draw 1; current 116 lb. | 21% |
| 2 | REAL GENTLEMAN | 4 | 119 -> 114 -> 133 -> 132 -> 129 (FP1) -> 135 -> 132 -> 135 | 5 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1200m (4 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP12 over 1200m at 132 lb. Rule 2: 135 lb - review possible class movement. Draw 9; current 135 lb. | 14% |
| 3 | WOLF COMING | 4 | 121 -> 119 -> 120 -> 114 -> 118 -> 134 -> 133 (FP2) -> 132 | 6 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 6 runs at 1200m (6 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1200m at 133 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 2; current 132 lb. | 14% |
| 4 | NAVAS G | 4 | 116 -> 117 -> 130 -> 126 -> 116 -> 123 | 5 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1200m (5 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1200m at 116 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 3; current 123 lb. | 12% |
| 5 | NEVER SETTLE | 5 | 129 -> 127 -> 129 -> 128 -> 126 | 4 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1200m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP11 over 1200m at 128 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 4; current 126 lb. | 10% |
| 6 | GUTSY BRAVO | 4 | 126 -> 127 -> 125 -> 126 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1200m at 125 lb. Draw 11; current 126 lb. | 6% |
| 7 | THUNDER PRINCE | 6 | 127 -> 126 -> 127 -> 127 -> 125 -> 124 -> 124 -> 122 | 4 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1200m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1000m at 124 lb. Draw 5; current 122 lb. | 6% |
| 8 | SHARP PLANET | 3 | 126 (FP2) -> 126 -> 126 -> 124 | 1 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1200m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1000m at 126 lb. Draw 8; current 124 lb. | 4% |
| 9 | SMILING SKY | 4 | 128 -> 129 -> 125 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 1200m at 129 lb. Draw 6; current 125 lb. | 4% |
| 10 | VOYAGE CAPTAIN | 4 | 129 -> 120 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1200m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1200m at 129 lb. Draw 7; current 120 lb. | 4% |
| 11 | HAPPY SPECIAL | 4 | 127 -> 129 -> 127 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1200m at 129 lb. Draw 10; current 127 lb. | 3% |
| 12 | COSMO DRAGON | 4 | -> 126 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1200m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 12; current 126 lb. | 2% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
SUN TIN WAI HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 6 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 9 | 135 | 10 Jun 2026 | 9 / 120 | 6-5-5-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 2 | HIGH PRAISE | 3 | 133 | 13 Sep 2026 | 2 / 135 | 11-12-8-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1000 | Mixed movement |
| 3 | RUBY THRIVE | 14 | 132 | 13 Sep 2026 | 6 / 126 | 2-1-1-0 | Front Runner | 1000 | Accelerated |
| 4 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 12 | 132 | 07 Jun 2026 | 11 / 113 | 10-9-11-0 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1000 | Mixed movement |
| 5 | AURORA PHOENIX | 10 | 128 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 6 | BREAK HEAVEN | 5 | 128 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 7 | EVER WEALTH | 13 | 126 | 14 Oct 2026 | 14 / 128 | 12-11-11-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 8 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 2 | 125 | 08 Jul 2026 | 2 / 123 | 2-4-10-0 | Front Runner | 1000 | Decelerated |
| 9 | DAILY FUN | 11 | 123 | 04 Jul 2026 | 1 / 127 | 9-9-10-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 10 | SUNNY Q | 6 | 123 | 14 Oct 2026 | 4 / 135 | 7-7-3-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 11 | PRECISION MIND | 4 | 122 | 14 Oct 2026 | 8 / 119 | 6-4-6-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1000 | Mixed movement |
| 12 | SUPREME VOYAGER | 8 | 119 | 13 Sep 2026 | 3 / 119 | 9-10-11-0 | Midfield Runner | 1000 | Decelerated |
| 13 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 7 | 118 | 06 Sep 2026 | 1 / 121 | 11-11-13-13 | Backmarker / Closer | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 14 | ZETA HEDGE | 1 | 116 | 14 Oct 2026 | None / 113 | None | Not classified | 1000 | Insufficient data |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 6 – SUN TIN WAI HANDICAP | 3:00 PM | CLASS 4 | 1000m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 4. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 10/06/2026 | HV Turf | 1200 | 7 | 120 | 128 | +8 | +0.18 | G2 Very Fast | 5 | 69.87 | +0.29 | F3 Fast | 68.60 | +1.27 |
| 2 | HIGH PRAISE | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 1 | 135 | 133 | -2 | +0.66 | G4 Average | 8 | 56.87 | -0.49 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +1.93 |
| 3 | RUBY THRIVE | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 4 | 126 | 132 | +6 | +0.26 | G3 Fast | 1 | 56.38 | -0.50 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +1.44 |
| 4 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 07/06/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 7 | 113 | 132 | +19 | +0.45 | G3 Fast | 11 | 56.79 | +0.09 | F2 Very Fast | 54.94 | +1.85 |
| 5 | AURORA PHOENIX | — | — | — | — | — | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | BREAK HEAVEN | — | — | — | — | — | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7 | EVER WEALTH | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 3 | 128 | 126 | -2 | +1.95 | G6 Very Slow | 11 | 69.91 | -0.91 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +1.55 |
| 8 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 5 | 116 | 118 | +2 | +0.07 | G2 Very Fast | 2 | 55.54 | -0.72 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +0.60 |
| 9 | DAILY FUN | 11/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 1 | 126 | 121 | -5 | +0.10 | G2 Very Fast | 13 | 83.60 | +1.64 | F6 Very Slow | 80.76 | +2.84 |
| 10 | SUNNY Q | 11/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 1 | 133 | 123 | -10 | +0.66 | G4 Average | 1 | 57.56 | -0.13 | F2 Very Fast | 54.94 | +2.62 |
| 11 | PRECISION MIND | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 4 | 119 | 122 | +3 | +0.36 | G3 Fast | 6 | 56.72 | -0.31 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +1.78 |
| 12 | SUPREME VOYAGER | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 3 | 119 | 119 | +0 | +0.63 | G4 Average | 3 | 55.62 | -1.32 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +0.68 |
| 13 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 3 | 119 | 118 | -1 | +0.75 | G4 Average | 12 | 81.79 | -0.19 | F2 Very Fast | 80.76 | +1.03 |
| 14 | ZETA HEDGE | 09/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1000 | 5 | 120 | 114 | -6 | +0.32 | G3 Fast | 7 | 58.54 | +0.70 | F4 Average | 56.39 | +2.15 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 6 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 10 Jun 2026 | Conghua AWT: 2 / Conghua Turf: 9 | 11 | 2 | 52.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | HIGH PRAISE | 13 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 3 / Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 4 | 1 | 55.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | RUBY THRIVE | 13 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 5 | 5 | 2 | 56.50 | 0 / 0 | 2 | 87.50 | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 07 Jun 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 7 | 7 | 1 | 56.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | AURORA PHOENIX | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | BREAK HEAVEN | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | EVER WEALTH | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 55.20 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua Uphill: 1 / Conghua AWT: 1 | 2 | 1 | 56.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | DAILY FUN | 11 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | SUNNY Q | 11 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | PRECISION MIND | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 54.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | SUPREME VOYAGER | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 13 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 14 | ZETA HEDGE | 09 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 3 / Conghua Turf: 1 / Conghua Uphill: 1 | 5 | 1 | 49.70 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. ARGENTO OCEAN: 22 Aug | Conghua Turf | 2 laps | 60.10 s; 15 Oct | Conghua Turf | 2 laps | 52.80 s
2. HIGH PRAISE: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.10 s
3. RUBY THRIVE: 23 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 90.80 s; 27 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.50 s; 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.50 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 61.00 s
4. SPARKLING FELLOW: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.10 s
7. EVER WEALTH: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.20 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.80 s
8. ZOUPER FELLOW: 16 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.80 s
11. PRECISION MIND: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 54.10 s
14. ZETA HEDGE: 14 Oct | Conghua Uphill | 2 laps | 49.70 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 6 | SUN TIN WAI HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 4 060-040 1000m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 3:00 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1000m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RUBY THRIVE | 4 | 124 -> 125 -> 119 -> 120 (FP2) -> 126 (FP1) -> 132 | 4 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1000m (4 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1000m at 126 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 14; current 132 lb. | 18% |
| 2 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 5 | 120 -> 118 (FP1) -> 125 -> 125 -> 120 -> 123 -> 116 (FP2) -> 118 | 5 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 5 runs at 1000m (4 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1000m at 116 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 2; current 118 lb. | 17% |
| 3 | SUNNY Q | 6 | 121 -> 120 -> 119 -> 135 (FP2) -> 134 -> 135 -> 133 (FP1) -> 123 | 1 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1000m (1 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1000m at 133 lb. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 6; current 123 lb. | 14% |
| 4 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 6 | 115 -> 122 -> 135 (FP2) -> 119 -> 111 -> 111 -> 113 -> 132 | 7 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 7 runs at 1000m (6 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP11 over 1000m at 113 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 12; current 132 lb. | 9% |
| 5 | ZETA HEDGE | 5 | 127 (FP2) -> 128 -> 123 -> 126 -> 117 -> 121 -> 120 -> 114 | 5 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 5 runs at 1000m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1000m at 120 lb. Draw 1; current 114 lb. | 8% |
| 6 | PRECISION MIND | 4 | 127 -> 125 -> 125 -> 121 -> 118 (FP2) -> 119 -> 122 | 4 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1000m (4 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1000m at 119 lb. Draw 4; current 122 lb. | 7% |
| 7 | SUPREME VOYAGER | 5 | 124 (FP2) -> 126 -> 127 -> 124 -> 120 -> 119 -> 119 -> 119 | 3 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 3 runs at 1000m (3 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1000m at 119 lb. Draw 8; current 119 lb. | 7% |
| 8 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 5 | 127 (FP1) -> 134 -> 134 (FP2) -> 116 -> 135 (FP2) -> 135 -> 120 -> 128 | 0 | 1 FP1; 2 FP2. 0 runs at 1000m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 1200m at 120 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 9; current 128 lb. | 5% |
| 9 | EVER WEALTH | 3 | 111 -> 111 -> 121 -> 128 -> 126 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1000m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP11 over 1200m at 128 lb. Draw 13; current 126 lb. | 4% |
| 10 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 6 | 128 -> 128 -> 128 -> 124 -> 124 -> 121 -> 119 -> 118 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1000m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP12 over 1400m at 119 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 7; current 118 lb. | 3% |
| 11 | HIGH PRAISE | 5 | 115 -> 120 -> 120 -> 135 -> 133 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1000m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1000m at 135 lb. Draw 3; current 133 lb. | 2% |
| 12 | DAILY FUN | 4 | 127 -> 130 -> 126 -> 121 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1000m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP13 over 1400m at 126 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 11; current 121 lb. | 2% |
| 13 | AURORA PHOENIX | 4 | -> 128 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1000m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 10; current 128 lb. | 2% |
| 14 | BREAK HEAVEN | 4 | -> 126 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1000m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 5; current 126 lb. | 2% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
LUNG HANG HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 7 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ISLAND BUDDY | 1 | 135 | 06 Sep 2026 | 1 / 135 | 4-6-13-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 2 | FLOWING RICHES | 12 | 132 | 01 Jul 2026 | 13 / 125 | 3-2-11-0 | Prominent Stalker | 1000 | Mixed movement |
| 3 | SOLID CAR | 7 | 132 | 14 Oct 2026 | 4 / 125 | 5-5-5-1-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1400 | Accelerated |
| 4 | ACE EAGLE | 3 | 131 | 21 Jun 2026 | 6 / 127 | 1-1-2-0 | Front Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 5 | FLYING HUNTER | 2 | 130 | 12 Jul 2026 | 5 / 133 | 5-8-8-12 | Prominent Stalker | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 6 | PRIME ACE | 11 | 130 | 14 Oct 2026 | 1 / 128 | 5-5-9-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 10 | 129 | 01 Jul 2026 | 2 / 129 | 6-7-8-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 8 | DANCING BLAZE | 5 | 125 | 13 Sep 2026 | 9 / 125 | 4-4-6-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1000 | Decelerated |
| 9 | GREEN FIELD PEARL | 6 | 124 | 13 Sep 2026 | 8 / 124 | 9-10-13-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 10 | KA YING RADIANCE | 8 | 124 | 14 Oct 2026 | 1 / 121 | 3-3-2-0 | Front Runner | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 11 | STAR FIGURE | 4 | 118 | 24 Jun 2026 | 8 / 119 | 5-6-5-3 | Prominent Stalker | 1650 | Mixed movement |
| 12 | HEROIC VANGUARD | 9 | 117 | 14 Oct 2026 | 12 / 117 | 11-10-7-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1000 | Accelerated |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 7 – LUNG HANG HANDICAP | 3:35 PM | CLASS 4 | 1200m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 4. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ISLAND BUDDY | 06/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 7 | 135 | 135 | +0 | -0.19 | G2 Very Fast | 13 | 70.50 | +1.52 | F6 Very Slow | 68.36 | +2.14 |
| 2 | FLOWING RICHES | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 2 | 123 | 130 | +7 | +0.47 | G3 Fast | 1 | 55.49 | -1.25 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +0.55 |
| 3 | SOLID CAR | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 5 | 125 | 132 | +7 | +0.56 | G4 Average | 1 | 82.13 | -1.23 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.76 | +1.37 |
| 4 | ACE EAGLE | 21/06/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 1 | 127 | 131 | +4 | +0.03 | G2 Very Fast | 2 | 68.84 | -0.19 | F2 Very Fast | 68.36 | +0.48 |
| 5 | FLYING HUNTER | 12/07/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 1 | 133 | 128 | -5 | +0.50 | G3 Fast | 12 | 82.88 | +0.36 | F3 Fast | 80.76 | +2.12 |
| 6 | PRIME ACE | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 2 | 128 | 130 | +2 | +0.61 | G4 Average | 9 | 69.46 | -0.53 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +1.10 |
| 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 01/07/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 6 | 129 | 122 | -7 | +0.97 | G5 Slow | 8 | 70.26 | -0.01 | F2 Very Fast | 68.36 | +1.90 |
| 8 | DANCING BLAZE | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 1 | 125 | 125 | +0 | +0.38 | G3 Fast | 6 | 56.75 | -0.29 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +1.81 |
| 9 | GREEN FIELD PEARL | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 2 | 124 | 124 | +0 | +0.59 | G4 Average | 13 | 70.20 | +0.86 | F5 Slow | 68.36 | +1.84 |
| 10 | KA YING RADIANCE | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 5 | 121 | 124 | +3 | +1.27 | G6 Very Slow | 2 | 68.74 | -1.52 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.36 | +0.38 |
| 11 | STAR FIGURE | 24/06/2026 | HV Turf | 1650 | 2 | 119 | 118 | -1 | +0.53 | G4 Average | 3 | 100.30 | +0.04 | F2 Very Fast | 98.42 | +1.88 |
| 12 | HEROIC VANGUARD | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 1 | 117 | 117 | +0 | +0.64 | G4 Average | 7 | 56.91 | -0.48 | F1 Elite Fast | 54.94 | +1.97 |
| 13 | PERFECT PAIRING | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 3 | 117 | 115 | -2 | +0.99 | G5 Slow | 4 | 110.07 | -1.34 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.33 | +1.74 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 7 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ISLAND BUDDY | 06 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 6 / Conghua Uphill: 1 | 7 | 1 | 55.60 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | FLOWING RICHES | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 2 | 53.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | SOLID CAR | 01 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | ACE EAGLE | 21 Jun 2026 | Conghua AWT: 5 / Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 8 | 2 | 56.20 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | FLYING HUNTER | 12 Jul 2026 | Conghua AWT: 7 / Conghua Turf: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 5 | 13 | 4 | 57.50 | 0 / 0 | 3 | 84.40 | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | PRIME ACE | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 56.30 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 01 Jul 2026 | Conghua AWT: 8 / Conghua TurG: 2 | 10 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | DANCING BLAZE | 13 Sep 2026 | Conghua Uphill: 1 / Conghua Turf: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 3 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 1 | 81.00 | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | GREEN FIELD PEARL | 13 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 / Conghua AWT: 2 / Conghua Turf: 2 | 6 | 2 | 52.50 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | KAYING RADIANCE | 01 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | STAR FIGURE | 24 Jun 2026 | Conghua AWT: 4 / Conghua TurG: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 5 | 10 | 1 | 48.20 | 0 / 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | HEROIC VANGUARD | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 55.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. ISLAND BUDDY: 15 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 55.60 s
2. FLOWING RICHES: 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.80 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.80 s
4. ACE EAGLE: 17 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 59.50 s; 23 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.20 s
5. FLYING HUNTER: 11 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 57.60 s; 15 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 57.50 s; 18 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 60.70 s; 22 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.60 s; 26 Aug | Conghua AWT | 3 laps | 88.30 s; 01 Sep | Conghua Turf | 3 laps | 84.40 s; 22 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 86.00 s
6. PRIME ACE: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.30 s
8. DANCING BLAZE: 14 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 81.00 s
9. GREEN FIELD PEARL: 08 Oct | Conghua Turf | 2 laps | 52.70 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 52.50 s
11. STAR FIGURE: 18 Aug | Conghua TurG | 2 laps | 48.20 s
12. HEROIC VANGUARD: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.60 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.10 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 7 | LUNG HANG HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 4 060-040 1200m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 3:35 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1200m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 5 | 120 (FP2) -> 123 -> 121 -> 121 (FP1) -> 128 -> 129 -> 129 -> 122 | 6 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 6 runs at 1200m (6 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1200m at 129 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 10; current 122 lb. | 16% |
| 2 | FLOWING RICHES | 5 | 128 -> 133 -> 125 -> 124 -> 131 -> 125 -> 123 (FP1) -> 130 | 5 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1200m (5 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1000m at 123 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 12; current 130 lb. | 14% |
| 3 | ISLAND BUDDY | 6 | 132 -> 131 (FP2) -> 133 -> 133 -> 133 -> 135 -> 135 -> 135 | 7 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 7 runs at 1200m (7 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 4 top-three. Latest: FP13 over 1200m at 135 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Rule 2: 135 lb - review possible class movement. Draw 1; current 135 lb. | 14% |
| 4 | SOLID CAR | 5 | 127 -> 128 (FP2) -> 130 -> 128 -> 127 -> 124 -> 125 (FP1) -> 132 | 2 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 2 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1400m at 125 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 7; current 132 lb. | 12% |
| 5 | KA YING RADIANCE | 5 | 130 -> 127 -> 125 -> 123 -> 120 (FP2) -> 122 -> 121 (FP2) -> 124 | 5 | 0 FP1; 2 FP2. 5 runs at 1200m (5 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1200m at 121 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 8; current 124 lb. | 12% |
| 6 | ACE EAGLE | 4 | 127 (FP2) -> 131 | 1 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1200m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1200m at 127 lb. Draw 3; current 131 lb. | 7% |
| 7 | HEROIC VANGUARD | 4 | 129 -> 127 -> 125 -> 124 -> 123 -> 117 -> 117 | 5 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1000m at 117 lb. Draw 9; current 117 lb. | 5% |
| 8 | STAR FIGURE | 5 | 128 -> 125 -> 123 -> 121 -> 124 -> 123 -> 119 -> 118 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1200m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1650m at 119 lb. Draw 4; current 118 lb. | 5% |
| 9 | FLYING HUNTER | 4 | 122 -> 118 -> 115 -> 113 -> 133 -> 128 | 4 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP12 over 1400m at 133 lb. Draw 2; current 128 lb. | 5% |
| 10 | PRIME ACE | 4 | 129 -> 128 -> 130 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP9 over 1200m at 128 lb. Draw 11; current 130 lb. | 4% |
| 11 | DANCING BLAZE | 4 | 127 -> 128 -> 125 -> 125 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1000m at 125 lb. Draw 5; current 125 lb. | 3% |
| 12 | GREEN FIELD PEARL | 4 | 127 -> 127 -> 126 -> 124 -> 124 | 2 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 2 runs at 1200m (2 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP13 over 1200m at 124 lb. Draw 6; current 124 lb. | 3% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
THE SHA TIN TROPHY (HANDICAP)
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 8 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 11 | 135 | 26 Apr 2026 | 12 / 126 | 5-5-4-5 | Prominent Stalker | 1600 | Mixed movement |
| 2 | MY WISH | 3 | 131 | 26 Apr 2026 | 10 / 126 | 12-12-9-1 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1600 | Accelerated |
| 3 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 7 | 125 | 26 Apr 2026 | 6 / 126 | 7-8-6-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Mixed movement |
| 4 | INVINCIBLE IBIS | — | — | 26 Apr 2026 | 5 / 126 | 11-11-12-4 | Scratched | 1600 | Mixed movement |
| 5 | BEAUTY JOY | 10 | 121 | 12 Jul 2026 | 5 / 130 | 7-7-7-1 | Midfield Runner | 1600 | Accelerated |
| 6 | PATCH OF THETA | 1 | 116 | 21 Jun 2026 | 1 / 131 | 5-5-4-10 | Prominent Stalker | 1400 | Mixed movement |
| 7 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 2 | 115 | 21 Jun 2026 | 3 / 127 | 4-5-7-7-2 | Prominent Stalker | 1800 | Mixed movement |
| 8 | STORMY GROVE | 8 | 115 | 03 May 2026 | 4 / 135 | 8-8-7-8 | Midfield Runner | 1600 | Mixed movement |
| 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 5 | 115 | 06 Sep 2026 | 9 / 125 | 4-2-2-7 | Prominent / Stalker | 1400 | Mixed movement |
| 10 | SKY JEWELLERY | 4 | 115 | 14 Oct 2026 | 7 / 134 | 12-10-9-1-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1400 | Accelerated |
| 11 | SAGACIOUS LIFE | 9 | 115 | 16 Sep 2026 | 9 / 132 | 3-4-3-2 | Front Runner | 1650 | Mixed movement |
| 12 | WINNING WING | 6 | 115 | 24 May 2026 | 6 / 126 | 9-8-7-7-6-5 | Midfield Runner | 2400 | Accelerated |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 8 – THE SHA TIN TROPHY (HANDICAP) | 4:05 PM | GROUP 2 | 1600m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Group level. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 26/04/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 5 | 126 | 135 | +9 | -0.05 | G2 Very Fast | 5 | 92.91 | +0.46 | F3 Fast | — | — |
| 2 | MY WISH | 26/04/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 6 | 126 | 131 | +5 | +0.95 | G5 Slow | 1 | 92.37 | -0.40 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 3 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 135 | 125 | -10 | +0.55 | G4 Average | 8 | 81.22 | -0.87 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 5 | BEAUTY JOY | 12/07/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 4 | 130 | 121 | -9 | +0.94 | G5 Slow | 1 | 93.58 | -0.87 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 6 | PATCH OF THETA | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 5 | 126 | 116 | -10 | +0.51 | G4 Average | 7 | 81.22 | -0.87 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 7 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 21/06/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 1 | 127 | 115 | -12 | +0.38 | G3 Fast | 2 | 108.04 | -1.05 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 8 | STORMY GROVE | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 120 | 115 | -5 | +0.31 | G3 Fast | 3 | 80.93 | -0.88 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 117 | 115 | -2 | +0.19 | G2 Very Fast | 5 | 81.04 | -0.29 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 10 | SKY JEWELLERY | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 4 | 134 | 115 | -19 | +0.64 | G4 Average | 1 | 80.60 | -0.63 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 11 | SAGACIOUS LIFE | 16/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1650 | 1 | 132 | 115 | -17 | — | — | 2 | 99.93 | — | — | — | — |
| 12 | WINNING WING | 24/05/2026 | ST Turf | 2400 | 2 | 126 | 115 | -11 | +1.24 | G6 Very Slow | 5 | 147.35 | -0.50 | F1 Elite Fast | — | — |
| 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 2 | 123 | 121 | -2 | +1.40 | G6 Very Slow | 6 | 95.37 | -1.16 | F1 Elite Fast | 93.91 | +1.46 |
| 13 | PERFECT PAIRING | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 3 | 117 | 115 | -2 | +0.99 | G5 Slow | 4 | 110.07 | -1.34 | F1 Elite Fast | 108.33 | +1.74 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 8 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 26 Apr 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 10 / Conghua AWT: 4 / Conghua Turf: 2 | 16 | 2 | 59.00 | 0 / 0 | 4 | 82.90 | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | MY WISH | 26 Apr 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 12 | 12 | 4 | 53.90 | 0 / 0 | 5 | 80.30 | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 1 | 55.70 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | INVINCIBLE IBIS | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | BEAUTY JOY | 12 Jul 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 9 | 9 | 1 | 57.30 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | PATCH OF THETA | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 54.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 21 Jun 2026 | Conghua AWT: 4 / Conghua Turf: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 3 / Sha Tin Turf: 1 | 9 | 4 | 56.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | STORMY GROVE | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua Turf: 1 / Conghua AWT: 1 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | SKY JEWELLERY | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 / Conghua AWT: 1 | 2 | 2 | 57.20 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | SAGACIOUS LIFE | 16 Sep 2026 | Conghua Uphill: 3 | 3 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | WINNING WING | 24 May 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 14 / Sha Tin Stall Test Turf: 1 | 15 | 6 | 53.50 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. VOYAGE BUBBLE: 19 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 59.00 s; 23 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 59.00 s; 01 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 90.70 s; 24 Sep | Conghua Turf | 3 laps | 84.90 s; 30 Sep | Conghua AWT | 3 laps | 88.40 s; 06 Oct | Conghua Turf | 3 laps | 82.90 s
2. MY WISH: 17 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 54.20 s; 22 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.80 s; 25 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.10 s; 29 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.90 s; 01 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.90 s; 05 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 80.30 s; 08 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 83.40 s; 17 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.30 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 84.10 s
3. HELIOS EXPRESS: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.70 s
5. BEAUTY JOY: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.30 s
6. PATCH OF THETA: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 54.10 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.40 s
7. LIGHT YEARS CHARM: 15 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.70 s; 21 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.40 s; 25 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 56.60 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.10 s
10. SKY JEWELLERY: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.00 s; 15 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 57.20 s
12. WINNING WING: 15 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.30 s; 18 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 63.00 s; 21 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.00 s; 25 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.00 s; 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.20 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin Stall Test Turf | 2 laps | 53.50 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 8 | THE SHA TIN TROPHY (HANDICAP)
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Group Two 1600m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 4:05 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1600m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SKY JEWELLERY | 5 | 135 (FP1) -> 123 (FP2) -> 125 (FP1) -> 135 (FP1) -> 119 (FP1) -> 119 -> 134 (FP1) -> 115 | 3 | 5 FP1; 1 FP2. 3 runs at 1600m (3 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1400m at 134 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 4; current 115 lb. | 15% |
| 2 | INVINCIBLE IBIS | 5 | 130 (FP1) -> 135 (FP1) -> 126 -> 126 (FP2) -> 126 (FP1) -> 126 -> 127 (FP1) -> 125 (Scratched) | 4 | 4 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1600m (4 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1400m at 127 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 10; current 125 lb. | 14% |
| 3 | MY WISH | 6 | 115 (FP1) -> 123 -> 126 -> 126 -> 126 -> 123 (FP2) -> 126 (FP1) -> 131 | 6 | 2 FP1; 1 FP2. 6 runs at 1600m (6 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1600m at 126 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 3; current 131 lb. | 14% |
| 4 | BEAUTY JOY | 10 | 134 -> 126 -> 123 -> 135 -> 125 (FP2) -> 124 (FP1) -> 130 (FP1) -> 121 | 4 | 2 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1600m (4 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1600m at 130 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 11; current 121 lb. | 10% |
| 5 | SAGACIOUS LIFE | 5 | 130 (FP1) -> 126 -> 126 -> 126 -> 135 -> 120 -> 132 (FP2) -> 115 | 4 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1600m (4 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1650m at 132 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 9; current 115 lb. | 9% |
| 6 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 8 | 135 -> 128 (FP2) -> 126 (FP1) -> 126 -> 126 -> 128 -> 126 -> 135 | 5 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 5 runs at 1600m (5 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 1600m at 126 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Rule 2: 135 lb - review possible class movement. Draw 12; current 135 lb. | 8% |
| 7 | STORMY GROVE | 5 | 126 -> 125 (FP1) -> 126 (FP1) -> 126 -> 135 -> 120 -> 115 | 3 | 2 FP1; 0 FP2. 3 runs at 1600m (3 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1400m at 120 lb. Draw 8; current 115 lb. | 7% |
| 8 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 6 | 132 -> 132 -> 126 -> 135 -> 132 -> 124 (FP1) -> 127 (FP2) -> 115 | 1 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1600m (1 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1800m at 127 lb. Draw 2; current 115 lb. | 7% |
| 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 6 | 131 -> 130 (FP2) -> 133 -> 124 (FP1) -> 115 -> 125 -> 117 -> 115 | 2 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 2 runs at 1600m (2 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 1400m at 117 lb. Draw 5; current 115 lb. | 7% |
| 10 | WINNING WING | 6 | 115 (FP2) -> 115 -> 129 (FP1) -> 126 -> 129 -> 135 -> 126 -> 115 | 0 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 0 runs at 1600m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 2400m at 126 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 6; current 115 lb. | 3% |
| 11 | PATCH OF THETA | 7 | 134 -> 135 (FP1) -> 126 -> 135 -> 123 -> 131 -> 126 -> 116 | 1 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1600m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1400m at 126 lb. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 1; current 116 lb. | 3% |
| 12 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 7 | 123 -> 126 -> 126 (FP2) -> 126 (FP2) -> 123 (FP2) -> 126 -> 135 -> 125 | 0 | 0 FP1; 3 FP2. 0 runs at 1600m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1400m at 135 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 7; current 125 lb. | 3% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
LEK YUEN HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 9 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MR INCREDIBLE | 11 | 135 | 27 Jun 2026 | 2 / 126 | 4-3-1-0 | Prominent Stalker | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 2 | SMART GOLF | 3 | 131 | 31 May 2026 | 11 / 131 | 2-3-14-0 | Front Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 3 | MOTOR | 6 | 130 | 09 Sep 2026 | 9 / 133 | 4-3-12-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1200 | Mixed movement |
| 4 | MAKE YOU SMILE | 10 | 125 | 07 Jun 2026 | 6 / 134 | 7-10-10-12 | Midfield Runner | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 5 | PRECISION TIME | 8 | 125 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 6 | GRAND EAGLE | 2 | 123 | 04 Jul 2026 | 3 / 133 | 6-6-7-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 7 | SUPER STRONG KID | 5 | 123 | 14 Oct 2026 | 4 / 125 | 12-10-6-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 8 | GLORYSPEED | 4 | 122 | 14 Oct 2026 | 10 / 120 | 10-8-4-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 9 | LA FORZA | 12 | 122 | 13 Sep 2026 | 3 / 126 | 9-5-8-0 | Midfield Runner | 1000 | Mixed movement |
| 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 1 | 120 | 13 Sep 2026 | 4 / 135 | 5-5-1-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 11 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 9 | 117 | 14 Oct 2026 | 13 / 118 | 13-12-3-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 12 | HONEST WITNESS | 7 | 116 | 16 Sep 2026 | 5 / 120 | 9-9-11-0 | Midfield Runner | 1000 | Decelerated |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 9 – LEK YUEN HANDICAP | 4:40 PM | CLASS 3 | 1200m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 3. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MR INCREDIBLE | 27/06/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 4 | 126 | 135 | +9 | +0.23 | G3 Fast | 1 | 68.47 | -0.57 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.00 | +0.47 |
| 2 | SMART GOLF | 31/05/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 6 | 131 | 131 | +0 | -0.59 | G1 Elite Fast | 14 | 76.49 | +8.06 | F6 Very Slow | 68.00 | +8.49 |
| 3 | MOTOR | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1200 | 7 | 133 | 130 | -3 | +1.04 | G5 Slow | 8 | 69.75 | -0.72 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.49 | +1.26 |
| 4 | MAKE YOU SMILE | 07/06/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 4 | 134 | 125 | -9 | -0.02 | G2 Very Fast | 12 | 83.79 | +1.98 | F6 Very Slow | 80.61 | +3.18 |
| 5 | PRECISION TIME | — | — | — | — | — | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | GRAND EAGLE | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 3 | 126 | 121 | -5 | +0.56 | G4 Average | 8 | 69.02 | -0.47 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.00 | +1.02 |
| 7 | SUPER STRONG KID | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 5 | 125 | 123 | -2 | +1.08 | G5 Slow | 6 | 68.85 | -0.41 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.00 | +0.85 |
| 8 | GLORYSPEED | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 1 | 120 | 122 | +2 | +0.72 | G4 Average | 4 | 68.70 | -0.40 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.00 | +0.70 |
| 9 | LA FORZA | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1000 | 6 | 126 | 122 | -4 | +0.34 | G3 Fast | 8 | 56.41 | +0.14 | F2 Very Fast | 54.89 | +1.52 |
| 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 7 | 135 | 120 | -15 | -0.09 | G2 Very Fast | 1 | 68.49 | -0.29 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.00 | +0.49 |
| 11 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 7 | 118 | 110 | -8 | +1.36 | G6 Very Slow | 3 | 68.68 | -0.66 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.00 | +0.68 |
| 12 | HONEST WITNESS | 07/10/2026 | HV Turf | 1200 | 6 | 121 | 109 | -12 | -0.24 | G1 Elite Fast | 7 | 69.71 | +0.68 | F4 Average | 68.49 | +1.22 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 9 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MR INCREDIBLE | 27 Jun 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 8 / Conghua AWT: 5 / Conghua Uphill: 1 / Sha Tin Turf: 1 | 15 | 5 | 52.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | SMART GOLF | 31 May 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 11 | 11 | 2 | 57.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | MOTOR | 07 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 54.50 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | MAKE YOU SMILE | 07 Jun 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 12 | 12 | 5 | 56.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | PRECISION TIME | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | GRAND EAGLE | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 1 | 83.40 | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | SUPER STRONG KID | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 1 | 85.00 | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | GLORYSPEED | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 56.20 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | LA FORZA | 13 Sep 2026 | Conghua Uphill: 4 / Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 5 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 13 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 5 / Sha Tin Turf: 1 | 6 | 1 | 56.60 | 0 / 0 | 2 | 84.10 | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 01 Oct 2026 | Conghua AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 52.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | HONEST WITNESS | 07 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 60.30 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. MR INCREDIBLE: 15 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 59.10 s; 20 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.30 s; 24 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.50 s; 08 Oct | Sha Tin Turf | 2 laps | 52.10 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.60 s
2. SMART GOLF: 01 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 60.90 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.10 s
3. MOTOR: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 54.50 s
4. MAKE YOU SMILE: 08 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 62.20 s; 18 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.10 s; 21 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.60 s; 25 Aug | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.90 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.00 s
6. GRAND EAGLE: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 83.40 s
7. SUPER STRONG KID: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 85.00 s
8. GLORYSPEED: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.20 s
10. HAPPY SHOOTER: 20 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.70 s; 27 Sep | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 84.10 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin Turf | 2 laps | 56.60 s
11. THOUSAND SPIRIT: 15 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 52.10 s
12. HONEST WITNESS: 14 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 60.30 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 9 | LEK YUEN HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 3 080-060 1200m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 4:40 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1200m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 6 | 123 (FP1) -> 130 (FP2) -> 131 -> 132 (FP2) -> 133 -> 133 -> 135 (FP1) -> 120 | 7 | 2 FP1; 2 FP2. 7 runs at 1200m (6 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 5 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1200m at 135 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 1; current 120 lb. | 17% |
| 2 | MOTOR | 4 | 130 (FP1) -> 135 -> 115 (FP1) -> 127 -> 122 (FP1) -> 133 -> 133 -> 130 | 7 | 3 FP1; 0 FP2. 7 runs at 1200m (1 at Sha Tin); 3 wins, 5 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1200m at 133 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 6; current 130 lb. | 17% |
| 3 | SMART GOLF | 5 | 128 -> 128 (FP1) -> 135 -> 135 (FP1) -> 124 (FP1) -> 132 -> 131 -> 131 (HUGE DROP IN WEIGHT) | 6 | 3 FP1; 0 FP2. 6 runs at 1200m (6 at Sha Tin); 3 wins, 4 top-three. Latest: FP14 over 1200m at 131 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 3; current 131 lb. | 15% |
| 4 | MR INCREDIBLE | 4 | 129 (FP1) -> 135 -> 132 (FP1) -> 126 (FP1) -> 135 | 4 | 3 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1200m (4 at Sha Tin); 3 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1200m at 126 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Rule 2: 135 lb - review possible class movement. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 11; current 135 lb. | 15% |
| 5 | HONEST WITNESS | 5 | 123 (FP1) -> 129 (FP1) -> 120 -> 121 (FP2) -> 114 -> 120 -> 121 -> 109 | 6 | 2 FP1; 1 FP2. 6 runs at 1200m (0 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1200m at 121 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 7; current 109 lb. | 13% |
| 6 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 5 | 134 (FP1) -> 121 (FP2) -> 121 -> 120 -> 121 -> 119 -> 118 -> 110 | 7 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 7 runs at 1200m (7 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1200m at 118 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 9; current 110 lb. | 10% |
| 7 | SUPER STRONG KID | 5 | 126 (FP2) -> 128 -> 130 -> 128 -> 125 (FP2) -> 125 -> 125 -> 123 | 5 | 0 FP1; 2 FP2. 5 runs at 1200m (5 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1200m at 125 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 5; current 123 lb. | 6% |
| 8 | GRAND EAGLE | 4 | 124 -> 133 -> 126 -> 121 | 3 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 3 runs at 1200m (3 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1200m at 126 lb. Draw 2; current 121 lb. | 2% |
| 9 | GLORYSPEED | 4 | 120 -> 122 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1200m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1200m at 120 lb. Draw 4; current 122 lb. | 2% |
| 10 | LA FORZA | 5 | 131 -> 130 -> 131 -> 131 -> 130 -> 129 -> 126 -> 122 | 1 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 1 runs at 1200m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1000m at 126 lb. Draw 12; current 122 lb. | 1% |
| 11 | MAKE YOU SMILE | 4 | 135 -> 133 -> 135 -> 134 -> 125 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1200m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP12 over 1400m at 134 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 10; current 125 lb. | 1% |
| 12 | PRECISION TIME | 5 | -> 125 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1200m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 8; current 125 lb. | 1% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
SHA KOK HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 10 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PACKING FIGHTER | 9 | 135 | 12 Jul 2026 | 13 / 134 | 1-1-1-1 | Front Runner | 1600 | Maintained position |
| 2 | SMART AVENUE | 14 | 133 | 12 Jul 2026 | 9 / 131 | 10-12-13-9 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1600 | Mixed movement |
| 3 | WINDLORD | 13 | 122 | 23 Sep 2026 | 10 / 122 | 3-1-1-1-5 | Front Runner | 1800 | Mixed movement |
| 4 | MISTER DAPPER | 7 | 130 | 12 Jul 2026 | 11 / 129 | 2-2-2-4 | Front Runner | 1600 | Decelerated |
| 5 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN | 11 | 126 | 12 Jul 2026 | 7 / 116 | 4-3-3-1 | Prominent Stalker | 1600 | Accelerated |
| 6 | SO NAIVE | 8 | 123 | 04 Jul 2026 | 7 / 115 | 5-7-7-0 | Prominent Stalker | 1200 | Decelerated |
| 7 | JOYFUL JOY | 3 | 122 | 06 Sep 2026 | 5 / 135 | 13-13-11-1 | Backmarker / Closer | 1400 | Accelerated |
| 8 | FORTUNE BOY | 1 | 121 | 14 Oct 2026 | 12 / 124 | 12-12-11-7-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1400 | Accelerated |
| 9 | SONIC LINER | 4 | 121 | 14 Oct 2026 | 6 / 118 | 4-6-7-12-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 10 | PRIME SUCCESS | 6 | 119 | 21 Jun 2026 | 9 / 122 | 12-13-11-8 | Backmarker (Closer) | 1400 | Mixed movement |
| 11 | SHAMUS STORM | 10 | 119 | 21 Jun 2026 | 8 / 120 | 11-11-9-7-12 | Backmarker (Closer) | 2000 | Mixed movement |
| 12 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 5 | 118 | 14 Oct 2026 | 10 / 120 | 11-11-10-6-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1400 | Accelerated |
| 13 | HYMNBOOK | 12 | 117 | 16 Sep 2026 | 11 / 119 | 11-11-8-3 | Backmarker / Closer | 1650 | Accelerated |
| 14 | MASTER LUCKY | 2 | 116 | 14 Oct 2026 | 5 / 118 | 3-5-5-4-0 | Front Runner | 1400 | Mixed movement |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 10 – SHA KOK HANDICAP | 5:15 PM | CLASS 3 | 1600m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 3. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PACKING FIGHTER | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 3 | 126 | 135 | +9 | +0.11 | G2 Very Fast | 1 | 92.85 | -0.84 | F1 Elite Fast | 92.85 | +0.00 |
| 2 | SMART AVENUE | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 2 | 135 | 126 | -9 | +0.66 | G4 Average | 10 | 108.29 | +0.08 | F2 Very Fast | 106.18 | +2.11 |
| 3 | WINDLORD | 23/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1800 | 1 | 122 | 122 | +0 | -0.01 | G2 Very Fast | 5 | 108.79 | +0.81 | F5 Slow | 107.79 | +1.00 |
| 4 | MISTER DAPPER | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 4 | 135 | 130 | -5 | +0.47 | G3 Fast | 4 | 93.76 | -0.69 | F1 Elite Fast | 92.85 | +0.91 |
| 5 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 3 | 127 | 126 | -1 | +0.38 | G3 Fast | 12 | 82.60 | +0.89 | F5 Slow | 80.61 | +1.99 |
| 6 | SO NAIVE | 11/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 1 | 128 | 121 | -7 | -0.04 | G2 Very Fast | 14 | 83.23 | +1.42 | F6 Very Slow | 80.61 | +2.62 |
| 7 | JOYFUL JOY | 06/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 3 | 135 | 122 | -13 | +0.70 | G4 Average | 1 | 81.10 | +0.00 | F2 Very Fast | 80.61 | +0.49 |
| 8 | FORTUNE BOY | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 1 | 124 | 121 | -3 | +0.92 | G5 Slow | 7 | 81.51 | -0.99 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +0.90 |
| 9 | SONIC LINER | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 118 | 121 | +3 | +0.40 | G3 Fast | 12 | 81.86 | -0.36 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +1.25 |
| 10 | PRIME SUCCESS | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 122 | 119 | -3 | +0.50 | G3 Fast | 8 | 81.87 | +0.08 | F2 Very Fast | 80.61 | +1.26 |
| 11 | SHAMUS STORM | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 3 | 123 | 119 | -4 | +0.91 | G5 Slow | 3 | 93.72 | -0.93 | F1 Elite Fast | 92.85 | +0.87 |
| 12 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 2 | 120 | 118 | -2 | +0.76 | G4 Average | 6 | 81.45 | -0.89 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +0.84 |
| 13 | HYMNBOOK | 04/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 1 | 120 | 117 | -3 | +1.10 | G5 Slow | 5 | 107.40 | -0.69 | F1 Elite Fast | 106.18 | +1.22 |
| 14 | MASTER LUCKY | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 5 | 118 | 116 | -2 | +0.24 | G3 Fast | 4 | 81.35 | -0.79 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +0.74 |
SHA TIN | 19 OCTOBER 2026
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 10 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PACKING FIGHTER | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 / Sha Tin Turf: 1 | 4 | 3 | 51.00 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | SMART AVENUE | 04 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 57.70 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | WINDLORD | 23 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | MISTER DAPPER | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua Uphill: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 2 | 1 | 55.40 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | SO NAIVE | 11 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | JOYFUL JOY | 06 Sep 2026 | Conghua AWT: 1 / Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 4 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 4 | 82.00 | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | FORTUNE BOY | 01 Oct 2026 | Conghua AWT: 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | SONIC LINER | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 2 | 54.00 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | PRIME SUCCESS | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 54.60 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | SHAMUS STORM | 27 Sep 2026 | Conghua Turf: 1 / Conghua AWT: 1 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 54.40 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 13 | HYMNBOOK | 04 Oct 2026 | None | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 14 | MASTER LUCKY | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 / Conghua AWT: 1 | 2 | 2 | 58.50 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. PACKING FIGHTER: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 51.60 s; 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.50 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin Turf | 2 laps | 51.00 s
2. SMART AVENUE: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.70 s
5. COMPLETE UNKNOWN: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.40 s
7. JOYFUL JOY: 17 Sep | Conghua AWT | 3 laps | 84.00 s; 01 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 85.00 s; 06 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 83.20 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 82.00 s
9. SONIC LINER: 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 59.90 s; 14 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 54.00 s
10. PRIME SUCCESS: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 54.60 s
12. NATURAL NUMBERS: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 54.40 s
14. MASTER LUCKY: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 61.00 s; 15 Oct | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 58.50 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 10 | SHA KOK HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 3 080-060 1600m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 5:15 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1600m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PACKING FIGHTER | 4 | 119 -> 115 -> 116 -> 135 -> 134 (FP2) -> 134 (FP1) -> 126 (FP1) -> 135 | 3 | 2 FP1; 1 FP2. 3 runs at 1600m (3 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1600m at 126 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Rule 2: 135 lb - review possible class movement. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 9; current 135 lb. | 18% |
| 2 | AMAZING PARTNERS | 5 | 133 (FP1) -> 123 -> 123 (FP1) -> 129 (FP2) -> 129 -> 129 (FP2) -> 135 (FP2) -> 131 | 5 | 2 FP1; 3 FP2. 5 runs at 1600m (5 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 4 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1600m at 135 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 13; current 131 lb. | 17% |
| 3 | SMART AVENUE | 5 | 122 (FP2) -> 124 (FP2) -> 125 -> 129 (FP1) -> 135 -> 131 -> 135 -> 126 | 3 | 1 FP1; 2 FP2. 3 runs at 1600m (3 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP10 over 1800m at 135 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 14; current 126 lb. | 11% |
| 4 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN | 4 | 122 -> 123 -> 124 -> 117 -> 118 -> 116 (FP1) -> 127 -> 126 | 3 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 3 runs at 1600m (3 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP12 over 1400m at 127 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 11; current 126 lb. | 11% |
| 5 | JOYFUL JOY | 4 | 127 (FP1) -> 135 -> 135 (FP1) -> 122 | 0 | 2 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1600m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1400m at 135 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 3; current 122 lb. | 7% |
| 6 | MISTER DAPPER | 7 | 129 (FP1) -> 131 -> 135 (FP2) -> 125 -> 134 -> 129 -> 135 -> 130 | 4 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 4 runs at 1600m (4 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1600m at 135 lb. Draw 7; current 130 lb. | 6% |
| 7 | SHAMUS STORM | 5 | 117 -> 116 (FP1) -> 124 -> 121 -> 122 -> 120 -> 123 -> 119 | 3 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 3 runs at 1600m (3 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1600m at 123 lb. Draw 10; current 119 lb. | 6% |
| 8 | MASTER LUCKY | 5 | 133 -> 135 -> 130 -> 131 (FP2) -> 129 (FP1) -> 135 (FP2) -> 118 -> 116 | 0 | 1 FP1; 2 FP2. 0 runs at 1600m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1400m at 118 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 2; current 116 lb. | 5% |
| 9 | HYMNBOOK | 4 | 122 -> 122 -> 121 -> 117 -> 115 -> 119 -> 120 -> 117 | 5 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1600m (5 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP5 over 1800m at 120 lb. Draw 12; current 117 lb. | 5% |
| 10 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 5 | 127 -> 131 -> 129 -> 126 -> 127 -> 127 -> 120 -> 118 | 4 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1600m (4 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP6 over 1400m at 120 lb. Draw 5; current 118 lb. | 5% |
| 11 | FORTUNE BOY | 5 | 125 -> 120 (FP2) -> 115 -> 128 -> 115 -> 122 -> 124 -> 121 | 1 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1600m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1400m at 124 lb. Draw 1; current 121 lb. | 3% |
| 12 | SONIC LINER | 4 | 127 -> 118 -> 121 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1600m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP12 over 1400m at 118 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 4; current 121 lb. | 2% |
| 13 | PRIME SUCCESS | 3 | 122 -> 122 -> 119 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1600m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1400m at 122 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 6; current 119 lb. | 2% |
| 14 | SO NAIVE | 5 | 115 -> 128 -> 121 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1600m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP14 over 1400m at 128 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 8; current 121 lb. | 2% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
WO CHE HANDICAP
Running Category Report
SUMM sourceSHA TIN | RACE 11 | RUNNING CATEGORIES
| No. | Horse | Draw | Wt. (lb) | Last outing | Last draw / wt. | Last run positions | Running category | Last distance (m) | Running movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BEAUTY BOLT | 1 | 135 | 14 Oct 2026 | 6 / 122 | 5-5-5-9-0 | Prominent / Stalker | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 2 | SALON S | 7 | 135 | 26 Apr 2026 | 4 / 115 | 1-1-1-4 | Front Runner | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 3 | MIGHTY MASTS | 12 | 134 | 13 Jun 2026 | 9 / 122 | 8-7-7-8 | Midfield Runner | 1600 | Mixed movement |
| 4 | EMBLAZON | 10 | 133 | 14 Oct 2026 | 4 / 124 | 9-11-11-12-0 | Midfield Runner | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 5 | ENDUED | 3 | 133 | 12 Jul 2026 | 8 / 135 | 6-7-9-11 | Midfield Runner | 1600 | Decelerated |
| 6 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 6 | 132 | 06 Sep 2026 | 2 / 131 | 1-1-1-4 | Front Runner | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 7 | GARRIX | 8 | 132 | — | — | — | No SUMM record | Not recorded | Insufficient data |
| 8 | BABY SAKURA | 2 | 131 | 06 Sep 2026 | 1 / 131 | 2-3-3-1 | Front Runner | 1400 | Mixed movement |
| 9 | GENEVA | 5 | 131 | 20 May 2026 | 5 / 116 | 9-9-4-0 | Midfield Runner | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 10 | CHILL BUDDY | 9 | 130 | 14 Oct 2026 | 8 / 133 | 1-1-1-2-0 | Front Runner | 1400 | Decelerated |
| 11 | SKY HEART | 4 | 130 | 19 Apr 2026 | 7 / 115 | 3-3-4-5-10 | Prominent Stalker | 1800 | Decelerated |
| 12 | AKASHVANI | 14 | 122 | 23 Sep 2026 | 10 / 133 | 11-11-7-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1200 | Accelerated |
| 13 | NYX GLUCK | 11 | 121 | 13 Sep 2026 | 1 / 121 | 7-7-6-1 | Midfield Runner | 1400 | Accelerated |
| 14 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 13 | 115 | 14 Oct 2026 | 13 / 119 | 14-14-14-9-0 | Backmarker / Closer | 1400 | Accelerated |
Source: SUMM worksheet; most recent recorded outing. — indicates no matching historical record.
Last Performance Weight, Rank & Sectional Model
Performance modelRACE 11 – WO CHE HANDICAP | 5:50 PM | CLASS 3 | 1400m | TURF C+3 COURSE
Latest historical outing; sectional references from HKJC Standard and Sectional Times (3), historical track/distance at Class 3. Class-record times kept separate. Negative variance is faster.
Top five in each variance column: Purple (1), Red (2), Blue (3), Green (4), Orange (5).
| No. | Horse | Last outing | Track | Distance | Runs at distance | Last Outing Wt | Current Wt 19 Oct | Wgt change | Gate var | Gate class | Rank | Total time (sec) | Finish var | Finish class | Record time (sec) | Time vs record (sec) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BEAUTY BOLT | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 3 | 122 | 128 | +6 | +0.19 | G2 Very Fast | 9 | 81.38 | -0.16 | F2 Very Fast | 80.61 | +0.77 |
| 2 | SALON S | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 2 | 124 | 135 | +11 | -0.16 | G2 Very Fast | 3 | 68.24 | -0.13 | F2 Very Fast | 68.00 | +0.24 |
| 3 | MIGHTY MASTS | 13/06/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 2 | 122 | 134 | +12 | +2.72 | G6 Very Slow | 8 | 96.52 | +0.17 | F2 Very Fast | 92.85 | +3.67 |
| 4 | EMBLAZON | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 5 | 124 | 133 | +9 | +0.35 | G3 Fast | 12 | 81.85 | -0.13 | F2 Very Fast | 80.61 | +1.24 |
| 5 | ENDUED | 12/07/2026 | ST Turf | 1600 | 7 | 135 | 133 | -2 | +1.02 | G5 Slow | 11 | 94.57 | -1.01 | F1 Elite Fast | 92.85 | +1.72 |
| 6 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 7 | 121 | 125 | +4 | +0.02 | G2 Very Fast | 1 | 80.93 | -0.22 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +0.32 |
| 7 | GARRIX | — | — | — | — | — | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | BABY SAKURA | 06/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 4 | 131 | 131 | +0 | +0.07 | G2 Very Fast | 1 | 80.61 | -0.71 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +0.00 |
| 9 | GENEVA | 27/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1200 | 6 | 120 | 131 | +11 | +0.64 | G4 Average | 4 | 68.31 | -0.62 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.00 | +0.31 |
| 10 | CHILL BUDDY | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 1 | 133 | 128 | -5 | +0.08 | G2 Very Fast | 2 | 81.24 | -0.50 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +0.63 |
| 11 | SKY HEART | 19/04/2026 | ST Turf | 1800 | 3 | 115 | 127 | +12 | -0.21 | G1 Elite Fast | 10 | 106.94 | -0.04 | F2 Very Fast | 106.18 | +0.76 |
| 12 | AKASHVANI | 23/09/2026 | HV Turf | 1200 | 3 | 133 | 122 | -11 | +1.25 | G6 Very Slow | 7 | 70.03 | -1.04 | F1 Elite Fast | 68.49 | +1.54 |
| 13 | NYX GLUCK | 13/09/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 6 | 121 | 121 | +0 | +0.31 | G3 Fast | 1 | 80.62 | -0.47 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +0.01 |
| 14 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 01/10/2026 | ST Turf | 1400 | 5 | 119 | 115 | -4 | +1.12 | G5 Slow | 9 | 81.69 | -1.01 | F1 Elite Fast | 80.61 | +1.08 |
Post-Race Gallops by Track
Training sourceRACE 11 | POST-RACE TRACK & LAP ANALYSIS
| No. | Horse | Last race | Track (no. of gallops) | All gallops | 2-lap runs | Best 2L (s) | 2L Better / Near | 3-lap runs | Best 3L (s) | 3L Better / Near |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BEAUTY BOLT | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 55.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 2 | SALON S | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 1 | 1 | 1 | 57.60 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 3 | MIGHTY MASTS | 13 Jun 2026 | Conghua AWT: 12 | 12 | 2 | 57.10 | 0 / 0 | 2 | 86.60 | 0 / 0 |
| 4 | EMBLAZON | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 58.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 5 | ENDUED | 12 Jul 2026 | Conghua AWT: 13 | 13 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 6 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 2 | 56.20 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 7 | GARRIX | DEBUT | DEBUT | 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 8 | BABY SAKURA | 06 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 1 | 56.60 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 9 | GENEVA | 27 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 3 | 3 | 2 | 51.80 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 10 | CHILL BUDDY | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 2 | 53.10 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 11 | SKY HEART | 19 Apr 2026 | Conghua Uphill: 3 / Conghua Turf: 1 | 4 | 1 | 55.70 | 0 / 0 | 1 | 86.40 | 0 / 0 |
| 12 | AKASHVANI | 23 Sep 2026 | Conghua Turf: 1 / Conghua AWT: 2 | 3 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 13 | NYX GLUCK | 13 Sep 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 5 / Sha Tin Turf: 1 | 6 | 1 | 54.40 | 0 / 0 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 |
| 14 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 01 Oct 2026 | Sha Tin AWT: 2 | 2 | 0 | — | 0 / 0 | 1 | 87.50 | 0 / 0 |
Purple = best 2-lap time at or below 49.00 s, or best 3-lap time at or below 80.00 s, with qualifying occurrence counts. “Better / Near” are separate counts.
Dated 2-lap and 3-lap gallops since last race
1. BEAUTY BOLT: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.00 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 55.80 s
2. SALON S: 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 57.60 s
3. MIGHTY MASTS: 18 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 60.20 s; 22 Aug | Conghua AWT | 2 laps | 57.10 s; 05 Sep | Conghua AWT | 3 laps | 87.60 s; 13 Sep | Conghua AWT | 3 laps | 86.60 s
4. EMBLAZON: 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 58.10 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 59.70 s
6. AEROINVINCIBLE: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.20 s; 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.30 s
8. BABY SAKURA: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 56.60 s
9. GENEVA: 08 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 52.10 s; 16 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 51.80 s
10. CHILL BUDDY: 11 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.50 s; 14 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 2 laps | 53.10 s
11. SKY HEART: 01 Sep | Conghua Uphill | 2 laps | 55.70 s; 17 Sep | Conghua Turf | 3 laps | 86.40 s
13. NYX GLUCK: 15 Oct | Sha Tin Turf | 2 laps | 54.40 s
14. KING OF FIGHTERS: 15 Oct | Sha Tin AWT | 3 laps | 87.50 s
Trainer Rules & Weight-Pattern Assessment
Trainer rulesRACE 11 | WO CHE HANDICAP
Monday, 19 October 2026 | Class 3 085-060 1400m | Sha Tin Turf C+3 | 5:50 PM
Trainer Rules: Rule 1 - distance specialist; Rule 2 - weight rise to 135 lb may signal a class drop. FP1 at 132 lb or above may indicate subsequent promotion. All historical weights shown oldest to newest, then declared weight.
| Rank | Horse | Age | Full Weight Pattern (Oldest -> Current Weight) | 1400m Runs | Rule Interpretation / Comment | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 6 | 128 (FP1) -> 135 (FP1) -> 123 -> 122 (FP1) -> 133 (FP2) -> 131 -> 121 (FP1) -> 125 | 7 | 4 FP1; 1 FP2. 7 runs at 1400m (7 at Sha Tin); 4 wins, 5 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1400m at 121 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 6; current 125 lb. | 19% |
| 2 | BABY SAKURA | 4 | 128 (FP1) -> 135 -> 135 -> 118 (FP1) -> 124 -> 124 (FP1) -> 131 (FP1) -> 131 | 4 | 4 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1400m (4 at Sha Tin); 3 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1400m at 131 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 2; current 131 lb. | 15% |
| 3 | SALON S | 4 | 124 (FP1) -> 134 (FP1) -> 119 (FP1) -> 134 (FP1) -> 115 -> 124 -> 135 | 4 | 4 FP1; 0 FP2. 4 runs at 1400m (4 at Sha Tin); 3 wins, 3 top-three. Latest: FP3 over 1200m at 124 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Rule 2: 135 lb - review possible class movement. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 7; current 135 lb. | 13% |
| 4 | NYX GLUCK | 5 | 134 -> 135 -> 130 -> 130 (FP2) -> 132 -> 134 (FP1) -> 121 (FP1) -> 121 | 6 | 2 FP1; 1 FP2. 6 runs at 1400m (6 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 4 top-three. Latest: FP1 over 1400m at 121 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 11; current 121 lb. | 13% |
| 5 | EMBLAZON | 5 | 124 (FP1) -> 119 (FP1) -> 126 -> 118 -> 121 -> 119 -> 124 -> 133 | 5 | 2 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1400m (5 at Sha Tin); 2 wins, 2 top-three. Latest: FP12 over 1400m at 124 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. Draw 10; current 133 lb. | 9% |
| 6 | MIGHTY MASTS | 5 | 129 -> 130 -> 131 (FP2) -> 132 (FP1) -> 115 -> 124 -> 122 -> 134 | 5 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 5 runs at 1400m (5 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 4 top-three. Latest: FP8 over 1600m at 122 lb. Rule 1: proven distance form. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 12; current 134 lb. | 8% |
| 7 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 6 | 120 -> 120 -> 116 -> 134 -> 133 (FP1) -> 121 -> 119 -> 115 | 5 | 1 FP1; 0 FP2. 5 runs at 1400m (5 at Sha Tin); 1 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP9 over 1400m at 119 lb. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 13; current 115 lb. | 6% |
| 8 | CHILL BUDDY | 5 | 122 -> 125 (FP1) -> 128 -> 117 -> 127 (FP1) -> 133 (FP2) -> 133 (FP2) -> 128 | 1 | 2 FP1; 2 FP2. 1 runs at 1400m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP2 over 1400m at 133 lb. Draw 9; current 128 lb. | 5% |
| 9 | BEAUTY BOLT | 4 | 126 -> 126 -> 126 -> 128 -> 124 -> 115 (FP2) -> 122 -> 128 | 3 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 3 runs at 1400m (3 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 1 top-three. Latest: FP9 over 1400m at 122 lb. Draw 1; current 128 lb. | 3% |
| 10 | ENDUED | 5 | 129 (FP2) -> 132 -> 132 -> 132 -> 130 (FP2) -> 132 (FP1) -> 135 -> 133 | 0 | 1 FP1; 2 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP11 over 1600m at 135 lb. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. High-weight FP1: possible promotion signal. Draw 3; current 133 lb. | 2% |
| 11 | GENEVA | 6 | 131 -> 131 -> 132 -> 131 (FP2) -> 130 (FP1) -> 116 -> 120 -> 131 | 1 | 1 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1400m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP4 over 1200m at 120 lb. Draw 5; current 131 lb. | 2% |
| 12 | SKY HEART | 6 | 121 (FP2) -> 117 -> 124 -> 130 -> 117 -> 123 -> 115 -> 127 | 1 | 0 FP1; 1 FP2. 1 runs at 1400m (1 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP10 over 1800m at 115 lb. Draw 4; current 127 lb. | 2% |
| 13 | AKASHVANI | 5 | 120 -> 115 -> 108 -> 135 -> 133 -> 130 -> 133 -> 122 | 3 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 3 runs at 1400m (3 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. Latest: FP7 over 1200m at 133 lb. Draw 14; current 122 lb. | 2% |
| 14 | GARRIX | 5 | -> 132 | 0 | 0 FP1; 0 FP2. 0 runs at 1400m (0 at Sha Tin); 0 wins, 0 top-three. No local race history in supplied guide. Rule 1: unproven at exact distance. Draw 8; current 132 lb. | 1% |
Indicative probabilities are comparative estimates from the supplied form guide, not calibrated betting forecasts.
